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Morocco U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women U17 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 3), Salé
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup Women U17. Little to choose between these two on current form. New Zealand U17 W have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Morocco U17 W have conceded 1.78 and scored 1.63. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.94 - 0.94) back Morocco U17 W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Morocco U17 W
15%
Draws
12%
New Zealand U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morocco U17 W lately — more wins on the board than New Zealand U17 W.
  • Win probability leans Morocco U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Morocco U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Morocco U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
New Zealand U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U17 W New Zealand U17 W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.63 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.78 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U17 W 85 / 100
New Zealand U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U17 W New Zealand U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morocco U17 W scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

New Zealand U17 W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

New Zealand U17 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Morocco U17 W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U17 W VS New Zealand U17 W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U17 W

(Home)
14 Apr
Turkey U18 W
2 : 1
Morocco U17 W
08 Apr
Uzbekistan U18 W
0 : 1
Morocco U17 W
12 Feb
USA U17 W
5 : 0
Morocco U17 W
09 Feb
Scotland U17 W
1 : 2
Morocco U17 W
28 Oct
North Korea U17 W
6 : 1
Morocco U17 W
Page 1 of 6

New Zealand U17 W

(Away)
25 Oct
New Zealand U17 W
0 : 4
Zambia U17 W
22 Oct
Paraguay U17 W
4 : 1
New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Japan U17 W
3 : 0
New Zealand U17 W
22 Oct
Ecuador U17 W
4 : 0
New Zealand U17 W
19 Oct
Dominican Republic U17 W
1 : 1
New Zealand U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Argentina U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 New Zealand U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Morocco U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Nigeria U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 North Korea U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Puerto Rico U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Brazil U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Canada U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ghana U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Venezuela U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Japan U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Zambia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 China U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Samoa U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kenya U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Chile U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mexico U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Australia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)