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Morocco U20 vs Algeria U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
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Match Events

53' Event
Bouhoudane S.
56' Event
Mounssef M.
65' Event
Hidaoui I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Morocco U20
30%
Draws
23%
Algeria U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morocco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Morocco U20 have won more games recently than Algeria U20.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Morocco U20 taking it.
  • Morocco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Morocco U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Algeria U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U20 Algeria U20
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Morocco U20 vs Algeria U20
3:1
Nov 20, 2024 Friendly International
Algeria U20 vs Morocco U20
1:1
Nov 15, 2023 Friendly International
Morocco U20 vs Algeria U20
3:2
Jun 29, 2021 Arab Cup U20
Morocco U20 vs Algeria U20
1:2
Dec 1, 2019 Friendly International
Morocco U20 vs Algeria U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouhoudane S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mounssef M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Algeria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohamed A. N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U20 95 / 100
Algeria U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U20 Algeria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeria U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Morocco U20's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Morocco U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U20 VS Algeria U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U20

(Home)
06 Oct
Libya U20
3 : 2
Morocco U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
0 : 2
Morocco U20
30 Sept
Morocco U20
3 : 1
Algeria U20
27 Sept
Tunisia U20
0 : 0
Morocco U20
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 7

Algeria U20

(Away)
06 Oct
Algeria U20
0 : 2
Egypt U20
30 Sept
Morocco U20
3 : 1
Algeria U20
27 Sept
Libya U20
1 : 3
Algeria U20
24 Sept
Algeria U20
1 : 1
Tunisia U20
08 Jun
Tunisia U20
1 : 1
Algeria U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U20 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Morocco U20 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Algeria U20 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Libya U20 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Tunisia U20 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Sierra Leone U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Senegal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mauritania U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Guinea U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Liberia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Guinea-Bissau U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Niger U20 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Benin U20 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U20 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Ghana U20 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Togo U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 (Play Offs)