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Morocco U20 vs Burkina Faso U20

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morocco U20 play Burkina Faso U20 in the Friendly International 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Morocco U20 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1 conceded. Burkina Faso U20 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Morocco U20 won 1, Burkina Faso U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 18, 2023 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Morocco U20 and 0.48 for Burkina Faso U20. This points to a Morocco U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Morocco U20
21%
Draws
31%
Burkina Faso U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Morocco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Morocco U20 picked up more points recently compared to Burkina Faso U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.48 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Morocco U20 Clean Sheet 31%
Burkina Faso U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U20 Burkina Faso U20
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2023 Friendly International
Morocco U20 vs Burkina Faso U20
1:3
May 16, 2023 Friendly International
Morocco U20 vs Burkina Faso U20
3:0
Nov 23, 2019 Friendly International
Morocco U20 vs Burkina Faso U20
0:0
Aug 20, 2019 African Games
Burkina Faso U20 vs Morocco U20
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U20 49 / 100
Burkina Faso U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U20 Burkina Faso U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Morocco U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Morocco U20 attacking → ← attacking Burkina Faso U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco U20 scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Burkina Faso U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Morocco U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Burkina Faso U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 39
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.33
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00