Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco U23 vs Egypt U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat
Sat, Jul 8, 2023
2 - 1
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Saber M.
18'
Saber M.
32'
El Ouahdi Z.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Morocco U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Morocco U23
39%
Draws
31%
Egypt U23
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Egypt U23 come out ahead of Morocco U23 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Egypt U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Morocco U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Egypt U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco U23 Egypt U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Morocco U23 vs Egypt U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Begraoui Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Targhalline O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Egypt U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saber M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco U23 41 / 100
Egypt U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco U23 Egypt U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Morocco U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Morocco U23 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Egypt U23 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morocco U23 VS Egypt U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco U23

(Home)
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
30 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Morocco U23
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
04 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Belgium U21
26 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 0
Wales U21
Page 1 of 6

Egypt U23

(Away)
17 Jul
Egypt U23
2 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jul
Ukraine U23
1 : 1
Egypt U23
11 Jun
Egypt U23
2 : 1
Ivory Coast U23
07 Jun
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 3
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Morocco U233
Mali U232
Egypt U231
Guinea U230
Final
Morocco U232
Egypt U231
Mali U231
Guinea U230