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Morocco vs Bahrain

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Al Khatal I. In: Abduljabbar M.
Out: Al Khatal I.
59'
Sub
Saibari I. In: Igamane H.
Out: Saibari I.
59'
Sub
El Kaabi A. In: En Nesyri Y.
Out: El Kaabi A.

AI Match Summary

Morocco in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morocco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Morocco
6%
Draws
4%
Bahrain
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bahrain haven't matched Morocco's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Morocco's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Bahrain
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 23 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Friendly International
Morocco vs Bahrain
1:0
Jun 23, 2012 FIFA Arab Cup
Morocco vs Bahrain
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer El Yamiq J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bahrain Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 95 / 100
Bahrain 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Bahrain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Bahrain has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Morocco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Bahrain
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
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Bahrain

(Away)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
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