Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco vs Ecuador

World World

Friendly International Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Yeboah J.
Assist: Plata G.
62' Event
El Aynaoui N.
Penalty Missed
63'
Hrimat M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Morocco
15%
Draws
31%
Ecuador
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morocco lately — more wins on the board than Ecuador.
  • Morocco are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%
Ecuador Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Ecuador
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 23 12
Draws 5 13
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 1.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.45 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Morocco vs Ecuador
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer El Aynaoui N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ecuador Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeboah J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 59 / 100
Ecuador 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Ecuador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Morocco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ecuador conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Ecuador
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
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Ecuador

(Away)
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
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