Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Adrar, Agadir

Morocco

4 - 1

Gabon

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Ziyech H.

(Penalty)

15'

Abqar A.

16'

Aubameyang P.

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Morocco in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

Morocco

15%

Draws

17%

Gabon

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence

Gabon haven't matched Morocco's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Morocco's way, sitting at 90%.
Morocco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Morocco Clean Sheet 68%

Gabon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Morocco	Gabon
Matches Played	44	28
Wins	37	13
Draws	5	4
Losses	2	11
Goals Scored	2.48	1.57
Goals Conceded	0.48	1.54
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Gabon vs Morocco

1:5

Sep 6, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Morocco vs Gabon

4:1

Jan 18, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Gabon vs Morocco

2:2

Oct 15, 2019 Friendly International

Morocco vs Gabon

2:3

Oct 7, 2017 World Championship

Morocco vs Gabon

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader El Kaabi A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Gabon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 95 / 100

Gabon 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Morocco Gabon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco scored in 93% of their last 44 games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Gabon let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Morocco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Gabon

2.25 Goals Scored 2

0.25 Goals Conceded 2.75

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)

09 Jul

France

2 : 0

Morocco

04 Jul

Canada

0 : 3

Morocco

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

24 Jun

Morocco

4 : 2

Haiti

19 Jun

Scotland

0 : 1

Morocco

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Gabon

(Away)

30 Mar

Trinidad & Tobago

2 : 3

Gabon

27 Mar

Uzbekistan

3 : 1

Gabon

31 Dec

Gabon

2 : 3

Ivory Coast

28 Dec

Gabon

2 : 3

Mozambique

24 Dec

Cameroon

1 : 0

Gabon

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