Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat

Morocco

1 - 1

Mali

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Camara O.

45'

Dieng A.

45'

Diaz B.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Morocco

20%

Draws

24%

Mali

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

Mali haven't matched Morocco's recent run of results.
56% — that's where the model lands on Morocco taking it.
Morocco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Morocco Clean Sheet 68%

Mali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Morocco	Mali
Matches Played	33	28
Wins	27	11
Draws	5	10
Losses	1	7
Goals Scored	2.03	1.14
Goals Conceded	0.48	0.54
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Morocco vs Mali

1:1

Feb 7, 2021 African Nations Championship

Mali vs Morocco

0:2

Sep 5, 2017 World Championship

Mali vs Morocco

0:0

Sep 1, 2017 World Championship

Morocco vs Mali

6:0

Mar 6, 2013 Friendly International

Morocco vs Mali

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 86 / 100

Mali 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Morocco Mali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Morocco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mali has conceded goals in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Mali

2.38 Goals Scored 0

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 25%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)

09 Jul

France

2 : 0

Morocco

04 Jul

Canada

0 : 3

Morocco

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

24 Jun

Morocco

4 : 2

Haiti

19 Jun

Scotland

0 : 1

Morocco

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Mali

(Away)

04 Jun

Iran

2 : 0

Mali

31 Mar

Russia

0 : 0

Mali

09 Jan

Mali

0 : 1

Senegal

03 Jan

Mali

2 : 1

Tunisia

29 Dec

Comoros

0 : 0

Mali

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