Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Morocco play Mali in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Morocco averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.45 conceded. Mali averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. In past meetings, Morocco won 3, Mali won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 26, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.59 for Morocco and 0.33 for Mali. This points to a Morocco double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Morocco picked up more points recently compared to Mali.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.59 vs 0.33 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morocco | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.40 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.25 | 0.80 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Morocco scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Mali let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Morocco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Mali lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Zambia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | D.R. Congo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Botswana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Gabon | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 0 |