Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morocco vs Mozambique

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade Ibn Batouta, Tanger
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ounahi A.
Assist: Mazraoui N.
46'
Sub
Domingues In: Kambala M.
Out: Domingues
57' Event
El Kaabi A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Morocco in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morocco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Morocco
15%
Draws
17%
Mozambique
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morocco lately — more wins on the board than Mozambique.
  • Model gives Morocco a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Morocco have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%
Mozambique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Mozambique
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 26 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 2.16 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Friendly International
Morocco vs Mozambique
1:0
May 23, 2014 Friendly International
Morocco vs Mozambique
4:0
Oct 13, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Mozambique
4:0
Sep 9, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique vs Morocco
2:0
Feb 13, 1998 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Mozambique
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ounahi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mozambique Compare

Avg xG / game 0.32
Avg xA / game 0.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 95 / 100
Mozambique 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Mozambique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morocco scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Mozambique let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Morocco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Mozambique
2.25 Goals Scored 0.2
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 20%
50% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
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Mozambique

(Away)
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jan
Nigeria
4 : 0
Mozambique
31 Dec
Mozambique
1 : 2
Cameroon
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Mozambique
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