Sport Picks

Morocco vs Niger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations

Niger

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Morocco have averaged 2.37 scored and 0.52 conceded recently, against Niger's 1.12 scored and 1.09 conceded. Past meetings favor Morocco slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2025, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.83 xG vs 0.71) point toward Morocco. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Morocco

20%

Draws

23%

Niger

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Niger haven't matched Morocco's recent run of results.
Model gives Morocco a 57% chance of winning this.
Morocco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Morocco here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Morocco Clean Sheet 20%

Niger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Morocco	Niger
Matches Played	52	33
Wins	43	10
Draws	6	12
Losses	3	11
Goals Scored	2.37	1.12
Goals Conceded	0.52	1.09
Expected Goals (xG)	1.83	0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2025 World Championship

Morocco vs Niger

5:0

Mar 21, 2025 World Championship

Niger vs Morocco

1:2

Sep 10, 2019 Friendly International

Morocco vs Niger

1:0

Dec 12, 2012 Friendly International

Morocco vs Niger

3:0

Jan 31, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations

Niger vs Morocco

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 85 / 100

Niger 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Morocco Niger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morocco scored in 94% of their last 52 outings.

Defensive concern: Niger conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Morocco remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Niger

2.5 Goals Scored 0.67

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.17

88% Over 1.5 67%

63% Over 2.5 33%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)

04 Oct

Morocco

1 : 1

Mali

29 Sept

Lesotho

0 : 2

Morocco

25 Sept

Morocco

2 : 0

Gabon

09 Jul

France

2 : 0

Morocco

04 Jul

Canada

0 : 3

Morocco

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Niger

(Away)

06 Oct

Algeria

2 : 1

Niger

29 Sept

Gabon

2 : 0

Niger

25 Sept

Niger

2 : 1

Lesotho

08 Jun

Niger

0 : 1

Mauritania

05 Jun

Benin

1 : 1

Niger

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