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Morocco vs Paraguay

World World

Friendly International Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
El Aynaoui N.
26'
Gomez D.
37'
Almiron M.

AI Match Summary

Morocco in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morocco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Morocco
15%
Draws
31%
Paraguay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morocco lately — more wins on the board than Paraguay.
  • Model gives Morocco a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morocco Paraguay
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Morocco vs Paraguay
2:1
Sep 27, 2022 Friendly International
Paraguay vs Morocco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khannouss B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Aynaoui N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Paraguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Caballero G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morocco 59 / 100
Paraguay 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morocco Paraguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morocco found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Morocco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Paraguay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morocco VS Paraguay
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morocco

(Home)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
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Paraguay

(Away)
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
20 Jun
Turkey
0 : 1
Paraguay
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
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