Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morpeth vs Dunston

England England

FA Trophy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Morpeth
15%
Draws
54%
Dunston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Morpeth have won more games recently than Dunston.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Morpeth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dunston, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dunston here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Morpeth Clean Sheet 20%
Dunston Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morpeth Dunston
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 FA Trophy
Morpeth vs Dunston
0:1
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Morpeth vs Dunston
2:3
Sep 4, 2020 Club Friendly
Dunston vs Morpeth
2:1
Jul 30, 2019 Club Friendly
Dunston vs Morpeth
3:1
Aug 16, 2014 FA Cup
Morpeth vs Dunston
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morpeth 36 / 100
Dunston 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morpeth Dunston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morpeth scored in 67% of their last 39 outings.

Dunston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Morpeth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morpeth VS Dunston
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morpeth

(Home)
12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1
Dunston
29 Aug
Morpeth
2 : 0
Witton Albion
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2
Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0
Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0
Morpeth
Page 1 of 8

Dunston

(Away)
12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1
Dunston
05 Sept
Vauxhall
0 : 2
Dunston
29 Aug
Grimsby Borough
0 : 1
Dunston
15 Nov
South Shields
6 : 2
Dunston
24 Oct
Dunston
1 : 0
Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
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Ashton United -
Hyde -
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TBD -
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TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 0
Wythenshawe FC 1
Blyth Spartans 2
1874 Northwich 0
Ashington 3
West Auckland Town 1
FC Guisborough Town 3
Ossett United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 0
Grimsby Borough 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 4
Mossley AFC 3
Stocksbridge 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Padiham 0
Pontefract Collieries 7
Prescot Cables 4
Vauxhall 1
Garforth 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 3
Consett 2
Liversedge 0
Bootle 5
TBD -
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TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
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Stalybridge 2
Bradford PA 1
Lower Breck 4
North Ferriby FC 0
Alvechurch -
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Newcastle Town 0
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Coleshill Town 0
Rushall -
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Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 2
St Ives Town 1
Basford Utd. 0
Bedworth United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
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TBD -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 1
Barwell 0
Chasetown 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Worcester -
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TBD -
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Leek Town -
Lichfield City 0
Matlock 5
Lincoln Utd. 1
Nuneaton 2
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Kettering -
Evesham -
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Stratford -
Ilkeston -
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TBD -
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Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
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Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
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Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
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Coventry United 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Corby 0
Stafford 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
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TBD -
Shifnal Town 4
Rugby Borough 2
Carlton Town 2
Shepshed 3
Grantham Town 1
Mickleover 3
Worcester Raiders 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
TBD -
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Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
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TBD -
Boston Town 1
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 2
Belper Town 1
Aveley -
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TBD -
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Ware 2
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 3
Lowestoft 1
Cheshunt -
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Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 4
Kingstonian 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Southall FC 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
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Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
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Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
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Portchester 1
Whitstable Town 3
Westfield 1
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
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Welwyn Garden 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Leverstock Green 2
London Lions 0
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 6
Sittingbourne 4
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Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
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Enfield Town -
Fakenham 2
Wroxham 1
Waltham Abbey 2
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Croydon Athletic 3
Sevenoaks 2
Littlehampton 2
Raynes Park Vale 3
Haringey Borough 2
Newmarket 3
Stotfold 0
Gorleston 3
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Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
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TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 3
Margate 0
Crowborough 2
Ashford United 4
Binfield 2
Deal Town 4
Beaconsfield Town 1
Sheppey United 2
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
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Flackwell Heath 0
Faversham 3
Punjab United 0
Horley Town 2
Welling -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
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TBD -
Hashtag 3
Royston Town 1
Tilbury 0
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
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Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
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Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
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Winslow United 4
Milton Keynes Irish 3
Concord Rangers 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hanworth Villa -
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Stortford -
Marlow 0
Hayes & Yeading 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Merstham 1
Erith Town 2
Cray Valley 1
Eastbourne Town 1
Bedfont Sports 0
Potters 2
Barton 1
Little Oakley 2
Biggleswade FC 3
TBD -
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Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
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Bury Town -
Canvey Island 4
Grays 1
Cambridge City 2
Redbridge 1
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Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Hendon 1
Bognor Regis 3
South Park 0
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
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Dartford -
Frome Town -
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Swindon Supermarine 0
Slimbridge 1
Willand Rovers 2
Falmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway -
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Bath City -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Steyning Town 1
Moneyfields 2
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Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
Didcot 2
Winchester City 1
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Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
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Basingstoke -
Yate -
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Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
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Hartpury University 4
Exmouth Town 1
Weymouth 5
Melksham 1
Portland United 3
Hungerford 1
Westbury United 0
Thame United 1
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Chichester City -
Bideford 1
Tiverton 2
Larkhall 2
Dorchester 1
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Gosport Borough -
Semi-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
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Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
Wythenshawe FC 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Ashington 1
FC Guisborough Town 2
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 2
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 1
Bootle 5
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Stalybridge 3
Lower Breck 2
Alvechurch -
TBD -
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Bedworth United 3
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 4
Chasetown 3
Worcester -
TBD -
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Leek Town -
Matlock 5
Nuneaton 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Stafford 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 3
Shepshed 0
Mickleover 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 3
Aveley -
TBD -
Ware 2
Sudbury 0
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 0
Southall FC 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 0
Egham Town 1
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 0
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Croydon Athletic 3
Raynes Park Vale 0
Newmarket 5
Gorleston 2
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 1
Ashford United 3
Deal Town 3
Sheppey United 0
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
Faversham 6
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
Winslow United 5
Concord Rangers 0
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Hayes & Yeading 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 1
Erith Town 2
Eastbourne Town 0
Potters 2
Biggleswade FC 5
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 3
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Willand Rovers 3
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Moneyfields 3
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 0
Didcot 4
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hartpury University 2
Weymouth 3
Portland United 0
Thame United 2
TBD -
Chichester City -
Tiverton 3
Larkhall 0
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Final
Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
Blyth Spartans -
FC Guisborough Town -
Redcar Athletic -
Dunston -
Avro -
Bury FC -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
Stockton -
Hallam -
Prescot Cables -
Bridlington Town -
Whitby -
Bootle -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
Stalybridge -
Alvechurch -
Bourne -
Rushall -
Stourbridge -
Bedworth United -
Redditch -
Stamford -
Loughborough Students -
Worcester -
Leek Town -
Matlock -
Kettering -
Evesham -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
Stafford -
Alfreton -
Shifnal Town -
Mickleover -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
Wellingborough -
Aveley -
Ware -
Cheshunt -
Cray Wanderers -
Southall FC -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
Egham Town -
Eastbourne Borough -
Welwyn Garden -
Takeley -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
Enfield Town -
Waltham Abbey -
Croydon Athletic -
Newmarket -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ashford United -
Deal Town -
Stanway Rovers -
Faversham -
Welling -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
Hashtag -
Uxbridge -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
Winslow United -
Hanworth Villa -
Stortford -
Hayes & Yeading -
Erith Town -
Biggleswade FC -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island -
Needham Market -
Hastings -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
Willand Rovers -
Plymouth Parkway -
Bath City -
Moneyfields -
Wimborne -
Didcot -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
Weymouth -
Thame United -
Chichester City -
Tiverton -
Gosport Borough -