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Morpeth vs Hebburn Town

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Forbes E.
26' Event
Own Goal
61' Event
Gardiner H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Morpeth
20%
Draws
40%
Hebburn Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Morpeth haven't matched Hebburn Town's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Morpeth a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Morpeth Clean Sheet 11%
Hebburn Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morpeth Hebburn Town
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Morpeth vs Hebburn Town
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hebburn Town vs Morpeth
2:1
Sep 9, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Hebburn Town
1:1
Jan 14, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hebburn Town vs Morpeth
2:3
Sep 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Morpeth vs Hebburn Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morpeth Compare

Top Goalscorer Gardiner H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hebburn Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Forbes E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morpeth 38 / 100
Hebburn Town 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morpeth Hebburn Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morpeth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morpeth scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Hebburn Town has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Morpeth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morpeth VS Hebburn Town
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Morpeth

(Home)
12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1
Dunston
29 Aug
Morpeth
2 : 0
Witton Albion
18 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 2
Hebburn Town
25 Apr
Morpeth
2 : 0
Warrington Town
18 Apr
Rushall
1 : 0
Morpeth
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Hebburn Town

(Away)
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
Radcliffe
5 : 1
Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
31 Aug
Macclesfield
3 : 0
Hebburn Town
29 Aug
Hebburn Town
4 : 2
King’s Lynn
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