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Morrinhos vs Goianesia

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Morrinhos Logo

Morrinhos

1 - 1
FT
Goianesia Logo

Goianesia

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Hugo Jose
45' Event
Luan Rodrigues
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Morrinhos
35%
Draws
32%
Goianesia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Morrinhos at 1.07 per game, Goianesia at 1.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 16%
Goianesia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morrinhos Goianesia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Goianesia
1:1
Aug 12, 2026 Goiano 2
Goianesia vs Morrinhos
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Goianesia
0:1
Jan 18, 2023 Goiano
Goianesia vs Morrinhos
2:1
Feb 25, 2022 Goiano
Morrinhos vs Goianesia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morrinhos Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Jose
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Goianesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Rodrigues
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 36 / 100
Goianesia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morrinhos Goianesia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goianesia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Goianesia conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Morrinhos scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Morrinhos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morrinhos VS Goianesia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morrinhos

(Home)
05 Sept
Morrinhos
1 : 1
Goianesia
30 Aug
Morrinhos
1 : 3
Tupy FC
26 Aug
Trindade
2 : 2
Morrinhos
22 Aug
Rio Verde
1 : 2
Morrinhos
16 Aug
Morrinhos
2 : 0
Goiania
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Goianesia

(Away)
05 Sept
Morrinhos
1 : 1
Goianesia
29 Aug
Goianesia
0 : 0
Goiania
26 Aug
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 2
Goianesia
22 Aug
Goianesia
2 : 1
Trindade
16 Aug
Rio Verde
3 : 0
Goianesia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
2 Goianesia 10 5 4 1 12:10 19
3 Bom Jesus 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
4 Morrinhos 10 4 3 3 16:14 15
5 Goiania 10 3 5 2 5:5 14
6 Tupy FC 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
7 Mineiros 10 2 4 4 10:12 10
8 Gremio Anapolis 10 2 2 6 10:15 8
9 Sao Luis 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
10 Trindade 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)