Sport Picks

Brazil

Goiano 2 2025 João Vilela Stadium

Tupy FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Morrinhos play Tupy FC in the Goiano 2 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Morrinhos averaged 0.68 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Tupy FC averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Morrinhos won 0, Tupy FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 9, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Morrinhos and 1.31 for Tupy FC. This points to a Tupy FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Morrinhos

32%

Draws

48%

Tupy FC

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Tupy FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Morrinhos picked up more points recently compared to Tupy FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Morrinhos Clean Sheet 18%

Tupy FC Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Morrinhos	Tupy FC
Matches Played	31	26
Wins	4	10
Draws	9	9
Losses	18	7
Goals Scored	0.68	1.69
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.15
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2025 Goiano 2

Morrinhos vs Tupy FC

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Jun 14, 2025 Goiano 2

Tupy FC vs Morrinhos

Possession: 43% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morrinhos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro da Costa B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morrinhos 22 / 100

Tupy FC 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Morrinhos Tupy FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tupy FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Morrinhos attacking → ← attacking Tupy FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morrinhos scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Tupy FC let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Morrinhos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tupy FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 39

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Anapolina	14	7	7	0	20:7	28
2	Centro Oeste	14	7	4	3	18:10	25
3	Rio Verde	14	5	7	2	15:12	22
4	Trindade	14	6	3	5	22:17	21
5	Tupy FC	14	3	7	4	17:17	16
6	Gremio Anapolis	14	3	6	5	13:17	15
7	Morrinhos	14	2	6	6	10:16	12
8	Ipora	14	1	4	9	13:32	7