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Mortagua FC vs Arronches Benfica

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
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Match Events

90'
Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T.
90'
Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Mortagua FC and Arronches Benfica finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mortagua FC
44%
Draws
20%
Arronches Benfica
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Mortagua FC haven't matched Arronches Benfica's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 18%
Arronches Benfica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mortagua FC Arronches Benfica
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Arronches Benfica
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs Mortagua FC
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Arronches Benfica
1:1
Oct 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Arronches Benfica vs Mortagua FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 36 / 100
Arronches Benfica 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mortagua FC Arronches Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Arronches Benfica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mortagua FC found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Arronches Benfica conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
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Arronches Benfica

(Away)
13 Apr
Arronches Benfica
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
06 Apr
Fatima
1 : 0
Arronches Benfica
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 0
Arronches Benfica
09 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 0
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1O Elvas CAD26205141:1065
2Fatima26147530:1249
3Arronches Benfica26139427:1748
4GD Peniche26109731:2339
5Os Marialvas26910730:2837
6Mortagua FC26813523:2137
7Marinhense2699824:2136
8Alverca B2698928:2535
9SB Castelo Branco26810823:2134
10SC Pombal26881029:3432
11Uniao de Coimbra26671326:4425
12Sertanense26491323:3321
13Alcains26461617:3618
14Pero Pinheiro26261812:3912
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)