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Mortagua FC vs CD Rabo Peixe

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Pais J.
62' Event
Spinola E.
90' Event
Da Costa Benevides R.

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mortagua FC
6%
Draws
4%
CD Rabo Peixe
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mortagua FC lately — more wins on the board than CD Rabo Peixe.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mortagua FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 68%
CD Rabo Peixe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mortagua FC CD Rabo Peixe
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 20 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs CD Rabo Peixe
2:1
Dec 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Rabo Peixe vs Mortagua FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mortagua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pais J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spinola E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CD Rabo Peixe Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa Benevides R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 95 / 100
CD Rabo Peixe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mortagua FC CD Rabo Peixe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mortagua FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

CD Rabo Peixe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: CD Rabo Peixe has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 9

CD Rabo Peixe

(Away)
07 Sept
Sacavenense
7 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
21 Sept
Anadia
3 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
CD Rabo Peixe
0 : 3
Alverca B
17 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
CD Rabo Peixe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santarem26174552:2355
2SC Lusitania26156540:2251
3Marinhense26155643:2650
4Alverca B26116934:1939
5Uniao de Coimbra261151030:2638
6SB Castelo Branco26107934:2937
7GD Peniche261141128:3937
8Sertanense26107926:2537
9Mortagua FC26107930:3637
10GD Fontinhas26951223:3232
11CD Rabo Peixe26861230:3428
12Vitoria Sernache265101117:3025
13CD Gouveia26561535:4821
14Tomar26521920:5317
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)