Sport Picks

Mortagua FC vs Leca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Taça de Portugal

Mortagua FC

0 - 2

Leca

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Mesquita B.

58'

Miranda M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Mortagua FC

15%

Draws

46%

Leca

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Mortagua FC haven't matched Leca's recent run of results.
46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Leca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Leca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 23%

Leca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mortagua FC	Leca
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	14	17
Draws	6	8
Losses	11	5
Goals Scored	1.1	1.9
Goals Conceded	1.16	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.53	0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Mortagua FC vs Leca

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mortagua FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18

Avg xA / game 0.77

Leca Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesquita B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Miranda M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.9

Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 37 / 100

Leca 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mortagua FC Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leca Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mortagua FC scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Leca conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Mortagua FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS Leca

1.43 Goals Scored 1.13

0.86 Goals Conceded 1.63

71% Over 1.5 75%

43% Over 2.5 50%

29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

(Home)

20 Sept

Mortagua FC

0 : 2

Leca

13 Sept

Uniao Da Serra

1 : 1

Mortagua FC

06 Sept

Mortagua FC

2 : 1

Fazendense

30 Aug

Covilha

0 : 1

Mortagua FC

23 Aug

Sertanense

1 : 3

Mortagua FC

Page 1 of 7

Leca

(Away)

10 Oct

Leca

2 : 0

AD Marco 09

20 Sept

Mortagua FC

0 : 2

Leca

12 Sept

Trofense

1 : 4

Leca

06 Sept

Leca

0 : 3

AD Fafe

23 Aug

Paredes

1 : 2

Leca

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

SC Salgueiros 2

Sousense 1

TBD -

Feirense -

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 8

Fayal 0

C.F. Benfica 3

Viana Alentejo 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal -

TBD -

Tondela -

TBD -

Alverca -

Ermesinde 1

Paredes 3

Maria de Fonte 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 4

Uniao Lamas 3

Lusitano GC 1

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 1

Mocarriense 0

TBD -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Malveira 2

Mafra 3

TBD -

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem -

TBD -

Merelinense 2

Atletico Arcos 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Caldas SC 1

Sintrense 3

TBD -

AFS -

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas -

TBD -

Portalegrense 0

Santo Antonio 3

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 3

Pacos de Brandao 0

TBD -

Nacional -

Rebordosa 2

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 5

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 2

Grandolense 0

Castrense 0

Louletano 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 5

SC Angrense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Regua 0

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 1

Vila Mea 0

1º Dezembro 0

Real SC 1

TBD -

Academica -

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Amarante FC -

O Elvas CAD 9

Sao Roque 0

TBD -

Leiria -

Rebordelo 0

GD Braganca 4

Celoricense 1

Pevidem 0

Montijo 0

Atletico CP 4

TBD -

Lagoa -

Bombarralense -

TBD -

Vizela -

Ac. Fundao 0

Guarda FC 6

TBD -

Chaves -

UD Ovarense -

TBD -

Fornos de Algodres 0

Os Marialvas 4

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

SC Vianense 8

Minas de Argozelo 0

Cinfaes 1

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

Oliveirense 4

Penalva do Castelo 0

TBD -

Penafiel -

Covilha 0

Mortagua FC 1

TBD -

Leca -

Nogueirense 1

Naval 1893 3

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Pacos Ferreira 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Lajense -

Olhanense -

TBD -

Messejanense 0

Portel 8

Oliveira Hospital 1

GD Sourense 0

Uniao Montemor 1

Juv. Evora 4

SC Barreiro 2

FC Madalena 5

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

Correlha 1

AD Limianos 4

Ferreiras 0

Aljustrelense 3

Alcains 1

Sertanense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Amora -

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra 5

Uniao de Pombal 0

Machico 2

Camacha 3

Florgrade 1

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Castro Daire -

TBD -

Portimonense -

Vila Pouca -

TBD -

Brito -

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Vitoria Sernache 3

Varzim 5

Trofense 1

TBD -

1/64-finals

SC Salgueiros 1

Feirense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense 2

C.F. Benfica 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Imortal 1

Tondela 5

TBD -

Alverca -

Paredes 5

Maria de Fonte 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

Beira Mar 0

CF Os Belenenses 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fazendense 6

Figueirense 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Mafra 3

Tirsense 2

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Santarem 5

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Sintrense 0

AFS 2

TBD -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas 4

Santo Antonio 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Anca 1

Sanjoanense 4

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada 3

Macao 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Serpa 1

Louletano 2

TBD -

Rio Ave -

Fatima 4

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Sacavenense 0

SC Farense 1

AD Marco 09 1

Maia Lidador 0

Real SC 1

Academica 4

Ponte da Barca 0

Amarante FC 2

O Elvas CAD 0

Leiria 2

GD Braganca 6

Celoricense 1

Atletico CP 4

Lagoa 1

Bombarralense 0

Vizela 1

Guarda FC 2

Chaves 3

UD Ovarense 0

Os Marialvas 1

Estrela Calheta 1

SC Vianense 3

Cinfaes 0

Leixoes 4

Oliveirense 1

Penafiel 2

Mortagua FC 0

Leca 2

Naval 1893 0

FC Felgueiras 2

AD Fafe 4

Lajense 0

Olhanense 1

Portel 0

Oliveira Hospital 3

Juv. Evora 2

FC Madalena 1

Lusitania FC 3

AD Limianos 3

Aljustrelense 0

Alcains 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Amora 3

Uniao Da Serra 4

Camacha 0

Florgrade 1

Castro Daire 0

Portimonense 1

Vila Pouca 0

Brito 5

Vitoria Sernache 2

Varzim 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

SC Salgueiros -

Estoril -

GD Alcochetense -

Maritimo -

Tondela -

Alverca -

Paredes -

Famalicao -

CF Os Belenenses -

Arouca -

Fazendense -

Estrela da Amadora -

Mafra -

Santa Clara -

Santarem -

Gil Vicente -

AFS -

Moreirense -

ACDR Lamelas -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Sanjoanense -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada -

Casa Pia -

Louletano -

Rio Ave -

Fatima -

Academico Viseu -

SC Farense -

AD Marco 09 -

Academica -

Amarante FC -

Leiria -

GD Braganca -

Atletico CP -

Vizela -

Chaves -

Os Marialvas -

SC Vianense -

Leixoes -

Penafiel -

Leca -

FC Felgueiras -

AD Fafe -

Olhanense -

Oliveira Hospital -

Lusitania FC -

AD Limianos -

Vitoria Setubal -

Uniao Da Serra -

Florgrade -

Portimonense -

Brito -

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Mortagua FC vs Leca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal

Mortagua FC

Leca

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Mortagua FC Compare

Leca Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Mortagua FC

Leca

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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