Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025

Mortagua FC

1 - 0

Pero Pinheiro

Our Tip

Match Events

83'

Pais J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Mortagua FC

Draws

Pero Pinheiro

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Mortagua FC lately — more wins on the board than Pero Pinheiro.
Win probability leans Mortagua FC's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%

Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 68%

Pero Pinheiro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mortagua FC	Pero Pinheiro
Matches Played	42	30
Wins	17	4
Draws	11	6
Losses	14	20
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Pero Pinheiro vs Mortagua FC

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Mortagua FC vs Pero Pinheiro

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Mortagua FC vs Pero Pinheiro

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Pero Pinheiro vs Mortagua FC

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mortagua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pais J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Pero Pinheiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mortagua FC 95 / 100

Pero Pinheiro 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mortagua FC Pero Pinheiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pero Pinheiro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Mortagua FC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (42 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Pero Pinheiro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mortagua FC VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	O Elvas CAD	26	20	5	1	41:10	65
2	Fatima	26	14	7	5	30:12	49
3	Arronches Benfica	26	13	9	4	27:17	48
4	GD Peniche	26	10	9	7	31:23	39
5	Os Marialvas	26	9	10	7	30:28	37
6	Mortagua FC	26	8	13	5	23:21	37
7	Marinhense	26	9	9	8	24:21	36
8	Alverca B	26	9	8	9	28:25	35
9	SB Castelo Branco	26	8	10	8	23:21	34
10	SC Pombal	26	8	8	10	29:34	32
11	Uniao de Coimbra	26	6	7	13	26:44	25
12	Sertanense	26	4	9	13	23:33	21
13	Alcains	26	4	6	16	17:36	18
14	Pero Pinheiro	26	2	6	18	12:39	12