Sport Picks
Mortagua FC vs SB Castelo Branco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 
AI Match Summary
Mortagua FC host SB Castelo Branco in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Mortagua FC at 1.1 goals for, 1.03 against; SB Castelo Branco at 1.65 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Mortagua FC have won 0 to SB Castelo Branco's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.06, favoring SB Castelo Branco. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- SB Castelo Branco have won more games recently than Mortagua FC.
- Mortagua FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mortagua FC | SB Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mortagua FC scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Mortagua FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: SB Castelo Branco registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mortagua FC
(Home)SB Castelo Branco
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mortagua FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 2 | O Elvas CAD | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 7 | Nogueirense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 8 | SB Castelo Branco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 9 | Fatima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Malveira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 11 | Alverca B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 13 | Fazendense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 1 |
| 14 | GD Os Nazarenos | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 0 |
