Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morton vs Ayr

Scotland Scotland

Championship Cappielow Park, Greenock
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morton host Ayr in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Morton have averaged 0.71 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Ayr's 1.31 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Morton have won 1 to Ayr's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.63) point toward Ayr. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Morton
20%
Draws
64%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayr come out ahead of Morton on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Morton Clean Sheet 14%
Ayr Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Ayr
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.71 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Morton
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Morton
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Ayr
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Morton
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Ayr
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 35 / 100
Ayr 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ayr's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Morton scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Morton VS Ayr
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
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Ayr

(Away)
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)