Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morton vs Dunfermline

Scotland Scotland

Championship Cappielow Park, Greenock
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Robinson Z. In: Sandilands C.
Out: Robinson Z.
62' Event
Lobban D.
Assist: Fraser R.
64'
Sub
O'Halloran M. In: Garrity M.
Out: O'Halloran M.

AI Match Summary

Dunfermline in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunfermline.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Morton
20%
Draws
70%
Dunfermline
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Dunfermline have won more games recently than Morton.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Dunfermline taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Morton Clean Sheet 11%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Dunfermline
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 4 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.74 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.74 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Championship
Morton vs Dunfermline
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Morton
3:1
Feb 17, 2026 Championship
Morton vs Dunfermline
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs Morton
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Dunfermline
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobban D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 27 / 100
Dunfermline 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Dunfermline

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunfermline Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Morton found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Dunfermline let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Morton remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morton VS Dunfermline
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
08 Aug
Stenhousemuir
2 : 0
Morton
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Dunfermline

(Away)
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
15 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 2
Ross County
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 6 5 1 0 10:2 16
2 Raith 6 4 1 1 11:3 13
3 Partick 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
4 Livingston 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Dunfermline 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
8 Inverness 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)