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Morton vs Linlithgow Rose

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Cappielow Park
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morton play Linlithgow Rose in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Morton averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Linlithgow Rose averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Morton won 2, Linlithgow Rose won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Morton and 1.94 for Linlithgow Rose. This points to a Linlithgow Rose double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Morton
20%
Draws
50%
Linlithgow Rose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linlithgow Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Morton picked up more points recently compared to Linlithgow Rose.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Morton Clean Sheet 10%
Linlithgow Rose Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Linlithgow Rose
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.11 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 League Cup
Morton vs Linlithgow Rose
2-0
Apr 12, 2025 League Cup
Linlithgow Rose vs Morton
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 League Cup
Morton vs Linlithgow Rose
0-1
Feb 12, 2025 League Cup
Linlithgow Rose vs Morton
3-1
Jan 12, 2025 League Cup
Morton vs Linlithgow Rose
3-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 29 / 100
Linlithgow Rose 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Linlithgow Rose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Linlithgow Rose or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Morton attacking → ← attacking Linlithgow Rose

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morton scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Linlithgow Rose let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Morton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Linlithgow Rose lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 52
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13