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Morton vs Linlithgow Rose

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Cappielow Park, Greenock
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Cochrane H. In: Garrity M.
Out: Cochrane H.
58' Event
Rae C.
Assist: Paterson D.
59'
Sub
Berry J. In: McGowan A.
Out: Berry J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Morton
15%
Draws
78%
Linlithgow Rose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linlithgow Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Linlithgow Rose carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Linlithgow Rose are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Linlithgow Rose arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Linlithgow Rose, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Morton Clean Sheet 10%
Linlithgow Rose Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Linlithgow Rose
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.71 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup
Morton vs Linlithgow Rose
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Linlithgow Rose Compare

Top Goalscorer Rae C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 10 / 100
Linlithgow Rose 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Linlithgow Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linlithgow Rose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Linlithgow Rose conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Morton's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Morton has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morton VS Linlithgow Rose
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
Page 1 of 6

Linlithgow Rose

(Away)
19 Sept
Broxburn Athletic
0 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
15 Sept
Linlithgow Rose
4 : 0
Dunipace
12 Sept
East Stirlingshire
2 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
29 Aug
Linlithgow Rose
3 : 2
Cowdenbeath
22 Aug
Lochee United
5 : 2
Linlithgow Rose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams