Sport Picks

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Morton vs Livingston

Scotland Scotland

Championship Cappielow Park, Greenock
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Muirhead R.
35' Event
Polworth L.
43'
Gillespie G.

AI Match Summary

Livingston in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Livingston.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Morton
15%
Draws
73%
Livingston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Livingston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Morton haven't matched Livingston's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Livingston taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Livingston here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Morton Clean Sheet 11%
Livingston Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morton Livingston
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.74 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Championship
Morton vs Livingston
1:4
Apr 12, 2025 Championship
Morton vs Livingston
1:2
Feb 25, 2025 Championship
Livingston vs Morton
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Championship
Morton vs Livingston
0:0
Nov 12, 2024 Challenge Cup
Livingston vs Morton
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morton Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Halloran M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Livingston Compare

Top Goalscorer Polworth L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danso E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morton 14 / 100
Livingston 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morton Livingston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Livingston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Livingston let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Livingston's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Morton scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morton VS Livingston
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morton

(Home)
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Morton
1 : 2
Arbroath
08 Aug
Stenhousemuir
2 : 0
Morton
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Livingston

(Away)
11 Sept
Morton
1 : 4
Livingston
04 Sept
Livingston
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir
29 Aug
Arbroath
1 : 0
Livingston
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
07 Aug
Partick
2 : 0
Livingston
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)