Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morud vs Marienlyst

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
12' Event
18' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-7, with Marienlyst advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Morud
15%
Draws
49%
Marienlyst
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marienlyst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marienlyst come out ahead of Morud on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Marienlyst taking it.
  • Marienlyst arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marienlyst, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Morud Clean Sheet 10%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morud Marienlyst
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 2 15
Draws 0 1
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.44 2
Goals Conceded 3.78 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2015 Betano Pokalen
Morud vs Marienlyst
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morud 10 / 100
Marienlyst 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morud Marienlyst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marienlyst Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morud scored in 89% of their last 9 games.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Marienlyst's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Marienlyst's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morud VS Marienlyst
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morud

(Home)
04 Aug
Munkebo BK
3 : 2
Morud
04 Sept
Morud
0 : 7
Aalborg
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
09 Aug
Morud
1 : 5
Naesby
09 Aug
Morud
3 : 5
Otterup
Page 1 of 2

Marienlyst

(Away)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avedore 3
Helsinge 0
Frem Sakskobing 0
Slagelse 4
Odense -
TBD -
Marslev 0
Tarup-Paarup 10
Brabrand 6
Aulum 1
Naesby 0
Fredericia 6
Helsingor 3
Tarnby FF 1
Herlev 0
Hillerod 1
B 1908 2
Fremad Amager 0
Bornholm 2
Fredensborg 3
FC Sonderborg 4
Varde 1
Skanderborg 0
Aabyhoj 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Skive 4
Tjorring 0
Ringkobing 1
Odder 2
Lyseng 2
Viby 0
Lundtoft 1
Kolding IF 7
Roskilde KFUM 5
Kalundborg GB 3
FB 0
Birkerod 2
Marienlyst 7
Morud 1
TBD -
Viborg -
Koge 5
Avarta 2
Gentofte-Vangede 1
Frederikssund 3
Aalborg Freja 3
Birkelse 1
Fuglebakken 0
Horsens 3
Holbaek 4
Dollefjelde-Musse 1
Sundby 1
Boldklubben 1893 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Roskilde 2
Nykobing 1
Vanlose 1
Jaegersborg 3
Vejle 2
Middelfart 1
TBD -
Hobro -
Naestved IF 4
Bjaeverskov IF Frem 0
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Lyngby 3
AB Copenhagen 0
BK Frem 1
Ledoje-Smorum 2
Sohus 4
Arslev BK 2
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Lystrup 3
Skovbakken 2
Kolding BK 1
Saedding/Guldager IF 3
Vendsyssel FF 3
Jammerbugt 1
TBD -
Aalborg -
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
Saeby IF Skjold 1
Thisted FC 7
FC Sydvest 05 4
Esbjerg IF 92 3
Aars IK 0
Vejgaard 3
Hvidovre IF 6
IF Foroyar 0
Virum-Sorgenfri BK 2
Fremad Valby 8
Nyborg G&IF 5
Langeskov 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Greve IF 3
Rishoj 2
LUIF 0
Boldklubben 1973 Herlev 0
Sollerod-Ved. 3
Herlufsholm -
TBD -
Hellerup 0
Bronshoj 3
Silkeborg 4
Holstebro 0
Boldklubben 1913 0
Svendborg 3
Kjellerup 3
DGL 2000 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
1/32-finals
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
Avedore 0
Slagelse 3
Odense 2
Tarup-Paarup 0
Brabrand 1
Fredericia 2
Helsingor 2
Hillerod 1
B 1908 0
Fredensborg 1
FC Sonderborg 2
Aabyhoj 0
TBD -
Randers FC -
Skive 1
Odder 0
Lyseng 1
Kolding IF 2
Roskilde KFUM 4
Birkerod 1
Marienlyst 1
Viborg 5
Koge 6
Frederikssund 2
Aalborg Freja 0
Horsens 6
Holbaek 4
Boldklubben 1893 2
Holbaek -
Boldklubben 1893 -
Roskilde 6
Jaegersborg 1
Vejle 0
Hobro 1
Naestved IF 1
Nordsjaelland 0
Naestved IF -
Midtjylland -
Lyngby 5
Ledoje-Smorum 0
Sohus 0
Esbjerg 9
Lystrup 5
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Vendsyssel FF 0
Aalborg 2
Sonderjyske 2
Thisted FC 1
FC Sydvest 05 2
Vejgaard 3
Hvidovre IF 3
Fremad Valby 2
Nyborg G&IF 0
Greve IF 5
Rishoj 2
Sollerod-Ved. 0
Herlufsholm 0
Bronshoj 5
Silkeborg 3
Svendborg 0
Kjellerup 1
Aarhus 8
1/16-finals
FC Copenhagen 2
Slagelse 0
Odense 1
Fredericia 2
Helsingor 1
Fredensborg 0
FC Sonderborg 0
Randers FC 6
Skive 3
Kolding IF 1
Roskilde KFUM 1
Viborg 5
Koge 2
Horsens 0
Holbaek 0
Brondby 7
Roskilde 1
Hobro 0
Naestved IF 0
Midtjylland 3
Lyngby 1
Esbjerg 0
Lystrup 0
Aalborg 4
Sonderjyske 3
Vejgaard 1
Hvidovre IF 1
Greve IF 2
Rishoj 3
Bronshoj 1
Silkeborg 0
Aarhus 1
1/8-finals
FC Copenhagen 2
Fredericia 1
Helsingor 0
Randers FC 2
Skive 3
Viborg 2
Koge 0
Brondby 1
Roskilde 3
Midtjylland 2
Lyngby 1
Aalborg 2
Sonderjyske 6
Greve IF 2
Rishoj 0
Aarhus 3
Quarter-finals
FC Copenhagen 2
Randers FC 1
Skive 0
Brondby 3
Roskilde 0
Aalborg 4
Sonderjyske 0
Aarhus 3
Semi-finals
FC Copenhagen 2
Brondby 1
Aalborg 2
Aarhus 4
Final
FC Copenhagen 2
Aarhus 1