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Stadium Background

Morud vs Marstal/Rise Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morud in this Landspokal Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Morud
15%
Draws
57%
Marstal/Rise
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marstal/Rise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marstal/Rise lately — more wins on the board than Morud.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Marstal/Rise taking it.
  • Marstal/Rise arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morud, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Morud Clean Sheet 10%
Marstal/Rise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morud Marstal/Rise
Matches Played 9 19
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.74
Goals Conceded 3.78 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2012 Betano Pokalen
Morud vs Marstal/Rise
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morud 10 / 100
Marstal/Rise 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morud Marstal/Rise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marstal/Rise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morud scored in 89% of their last 9 games.

Defensive concern: Marstal/Rise conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

Away concern: Marstal/Rise has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Morud VS Marstal/Rise
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Morud

(Home)
04 Aug
Munkebo BK
3 : 2
Morud
04 Sept
Morud
0 : 7
Aalborg
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
09 Aug
Morud
1 : 5
Naesby
09 Aug
Morud
3 : 5
Otterup
Page 1 of 2

Marstal/Rise

(Away)
02 Sept
Marstal/Rise
1 : 6
Aalborg
07 Aug
Marstal/Rise
3 : 2
Tved
04 Aug
Saedding/Guldager IF
3 : 2
Marstal/Rise
11 Sept
Marstal/Rise
2 : 6
Aarhus
06 Aug
Marstal/Rise
5 : 3
Kolding BK
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Lyngby 6
BK Glostrup Albertsund 1
Frem Sakskobing 2
Sydalliancen 3
Skive 4
Nordvestmors 1
Tjorring 0
Viby 4
Aarhus Fremad 3
DGL 2000 1
Brabrand 2
Ringkobing 3
Varde 2
Sohus 0
TBD -
Aarhus -
Aalborg -
TBD -
Djursland 2
Skovbakken 3
Herlufsholm 4
Tuse IF 1
Fremad Amager 1
Bronshoj 4
Esbjerg IF 92 3
FC Fyn 2
Gug 0
Lindholm 2
Odder 1
Viborg 5
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Brondby -
TBD -
Kalundborg GB 1
Holbaek 2
Vallensbaek 1
Allerod 0
Avarta 0
Boldklubben 1893 4
Jammerbugt 9
Hjorring AIK Frem 0
Borbjerg 1
Lystrup 4
Svendborg 1
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
Thisted FC 2
Hobro 3
Kjellerup 3
Vatanspor 2
Hadsund BK 3
Vendsyssel FF 4
Fredericia 3
Aalborg Chang 0
Egebjerg Fodbold 0
FC Sonderborg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Randers FC -
TBD -
Frederikshavn 2
Aalborg Freja 6
Avedore 2
B 1908 1
Ringsted 1
Naestved IF 4
Slagelse 5
Nykobing 1
Herlev 0
Helsingor 3
Aarup 5
Tved 0
Ubberud 0
Vejle 13
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skjold 2
AB Copenhagen 0
Naesby 2
Svebolle 5
Rishoj 2
Virum-Sorgenfri BK 0
Alleso 0
Marienlyst 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Odense -
TBD -
Osterbro IF 0
Bornholm 1
Ledoje-Smorum 10
Heimdal 4
Jaegersborg 1
Hvidovre IF 4
Sollerod-Ved. 3
Roskilde 1
Lundtofte 0
Frederikssund 6
Egedal 4
Birkerod 2
Femhoj 0
Vanlose 1
Hellerup 7
FC Amager 2
Flong Hedehusene 0
IF Foroyar 1
AB Tarnby 3
Christiania SC 1
Nakskov 0
Koge 9
Otterup 4
FC Sydvest 05 3
Marstal/Rise 0
Morud 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsens -
1/32-finals
Lyngby 4
Sydalliancen 0
Skive 0
Viby 2
Aarhus Fremad 2
Ringkobing 1
Varde 1
Aarhus 4
Aalborg 3
Skovbakken 0
Herlufsholm 0
Bronshoj 3
Esbjerg IF 92 4
Lindholm 3
Viborg 1
Esbjerg 2
Brondby 2
Holbaek 1
Vallensbaek 1
Boldklubben 1893 2
Jammerbugt 9
Lystrup 1
Svendborg 0
Silkeborg 2
Sonderjyske 4
Hobro 1
Kjellerup 1
Vendsyssel FF 7
Fredericia 2
FC Sonderborg 1
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Randers FC 1
Aalborg Freja 0
Avedore 0
Naestved IF 1
Slagelse 5
Helsingor 4
Aarup 1
Vejle 3
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
Skjold 0
Svebolle 2
Rishoj 3
Marienlyst 2
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Odense 1
Bornholm 0
Ledoje-Smorum 0
Hvidovre IF 1
Sollerod-Ved. 3
Frederikssund 0
Egedal 0
Vanlose 1
Hellerup 4
IF Foroyar 0
AB Tarnby 1
Koge 7
Otterup 3
Morud 1
TBD -
Horsens -
1/16-finals
Lyngby 6
Viby 1
Aarhus Fremad 0
Aarhus 3
Aalborg 3
Bronshoj 1
Esbjerg IF 92 0
Esbjerg 3
Brondby 3
Boldklubben 1893 0
Jammerbugt 0
Silkeborg 1
Sonderjyske 4
Vendsyssel FF 0
Fredericia 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Randers FC 2
Naestved IF 1
Slagelse 1
Vejle 3
Nordsjaelland 3
Svebolle 1
Rishoj 0
Midtjylland 1
Odense 7
Hvidovre IF 3
Sollerod-Ved. 0
Vanlose 1
Hellerup 3
Koge 2
Otterup 2
Horsens 3
1/8-finals
Lyngby 3
Aarhus 2
Aalborg 0
Esbjerg 1
Brondby 3
Silkeborg 0
Sonderjyske 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Randers FC 1
Vejle 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Midtjylland 3
Odense 3
Vanlose 0
Hellerup 0
Horsens 4
Quarter-finals
Lyngby 1
Esbjerg 2
Brondby 1
FC Copenhagen 0
Randers FC 2
Midtjylland 1
Odense 2
Horsens 4
Semi-finals
Brondby 2
Esbjerg 4
Randers FC 4
Horsens 2
Final
Esbjerg 1
Randers FC 0