Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morud vs Naesby

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Host K.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Pedersen A.
47' Event
Larsen L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Naesby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Morud
15%
Draws
57%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naesby come out ahead of Morud on wins alone.
  • Naesby are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Naesby arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Naesby, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Morud Clean Sheet 10%
Naesby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morud Naesby
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 2 17
Draws 0 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.44 2.37
Goals Conceded 3.78 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2023 Betano Pokalen
Morud vs Naesby
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Morud Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedersen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Nissen R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Larsen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morud 10 / 100
Naesby 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morud Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morud found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (9 games).

Naesby let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Naesby's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morud VS Naesby
2 Goals Scored 2.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Morud

(Home)
04 Aug
Munkebo BK
3 : 2
Morud
04 Sept
Morud
0 : 7
Aalborg
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
09 Aug
Morud
1 : 5
Naesby
09 Aug
Morud
3 : 5
Otterup
Page 1 of 2

Naesby

(Away)
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
25 Aug
Munkebo BK
0 : 5
Naesby
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
ASA Aarhus 2
Lyseng 4
Odense KFUM 0
Middelfart 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Bornholm 1
Bagsvaerd 3
BK Frem 0
Naestved IF 1
Tasinge 1
Aabenraa 2
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Viby 5
Holstebro 2
Jetsmark 2
VSK Aarhus 3
Boldklubben 1909 2
Fjordager 3
TBD -
Hvidovre IF -
Odder 0
Skive 1
Thisted FC 4
Brabrand 3
Young Boys FD 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Hojslev 1
Vejlby Risskov 6
Egen 0
Aalborg 8
Dalum IF 3
OKS Odense 1
Bredballe 0
Fredericia 8
Kolding BK 4
Varde 0
Aarhus 1900 0
Hobro 3
Tune 4
Frem Sakskobing 1
TBD -
Odense -
Soften GF 3
Gug 2
Norresundby 1
Aarhus Fremad 7
Frederiksholm 0
Skjold 4
Dragor 0
Helsingor 4
Bispebjerg Bk 1
Ringsted 4
Tarnby FF 1
Koge 3
BSF 1
Hillerod 8
TBD -
Lyngby -
Nibe Boldklub -
TBD -
KRFK 1
Esbjerg 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viborg -
Ringkobing 1
Kjellerup 0
Avrasya 1
Kolding IF 19
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Taastrup 3
Glostrup FK 2
Nakskov 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 8
Otterup 2
SfB-Oure 4
Ledoje-Smorum 1
AB Copenhagen 2
Tst Fodbold 3
Vejgaard 2
Morud 1
Naesby 5
Horsens 1
Sonderjyske 2
TBD -
Vejle -
Amager FF 2
Birkerod 3
Allerod 0
Vanlose 2
Boldklubben 1960 0
Gorslev IF 2
Vallensbaek 0
Ishoj IF 6
Koge Union 0
AB Tarnby 2
Greve IF 1
Nykobing 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Roskilde KFUM 1
Bronshoj 4
LUIF 0
Boldklubben 1893 16
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
B 1908 1
Roskilde 0
Hellerup 2
Fremad Amager 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
1/32-finals
Lyseng 3
Middelfart 1
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Bagsvaerd 0
Naestved IF 7
Aabenraa 0
Midtjylland 13
Viby 2
VSK Aarhus 0
Fjordager 0
Hvidovre IF 8
Skive 1
Thisted FC 3
Young Boys FD 0
Silkeborg 1
Vejlby Risskov 0
Aalborg 6
Dalum IF 1
Fredericia 8
Kolding BK 0
Hobro 2
Tune 0
Odense 5
Soften GF 1
Aarhus Fremad 8
Skjold 2
Helsingor 5
Ringsted 1
Koge 3
Hillerod 0
Lyngby 2
Nibe Boldklub 1
Esbjerg 2
TBD -
Viborg -
Ringkobing 0
Kolding IF 4
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Taastrup 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 5
SfB-Oure 3
AB Copenhagen 4
Tst Fodbold 3
Naesby 2
Sonderjyske 0
Vejle 1
Birkerod 0
Vanlose 2
Gorslev IF 1
Ishoj IF 2
AB Tarnby 0
Nykobing 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
Bronshoj 0
Boldklubben 1893 5
TBD -
Randers FC -
B 1908 1
Hellerup 2
TBD -
Brondby -
1/16-finals
Lyseng 0
FC Copenhagen 9
Naestved IF 0
Midtjylland 2
Viby 0
Hvidovre IF 2
Thisted FC 1
Silkeborg 3
Aalborg 2
Fredericia 3
Hobro 0
Odense 1
Aarhus Fremad 1
Helsingor 2
Koge 2
Lyngby 4
Esbjerg 3
Viborg 4
Kolding IF 2
Nordsjaelland 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 2
AB Copenhagen 3
Tst Fodbold 0
Vejle 7
Vanlose 1
Ishoj IF 3
Nykobing 0
Aarhus 1
Boldklubben 1893 4
Randers FC 5
Hellerup 0
Brondby 3
1/8-finals
FC Copenhagen 1
Midtjylland 0
Hvidovre IF 1
Silkeborg 5
Fredericia 3
Odense 1
Helsingor 2
Lyngby 3
Viborg 2
Nordsjaelland 3
AB Copenhagen 2
Vejle 1
Ishoj IF 0
Aarhus 4
Randers FC 0
Brondby 1
Quarter-finals
FC Copenhagen 2
Silkeborg 3
Fredericia 4
Lyngby 2
Nordsjaelland 5
AB Copenhagen 1
Aarhus 3
Brondby 2
Semi-finals
Silkeborg 6
Fredericia 3
Nordsjaelland 2
Aarhus 4
Final
Silkeborg 1
Aarhus 0