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Morud vs Otterup

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
33' Event
37' Event

AI Match Summary

Otterup in this Landspokal Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Morud
15%
Draws
57%
Otterup
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otterup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Otterup have won more games recently than Morud.
  • Otterup are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Otterup arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Otterup, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Morud Clean Sheet 10%
Otterup Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morud Otterup
Matches Played 9 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.44 1.74
Goals Conceded 3.78 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 3.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2016 Betano Pokalen
Morud vs Otterup
3:5
Sep 11, 2012 Betano Pokalen
Morud vs Otterup
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morud 10 / 100
Otterup 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morud Otterup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Otterup Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Morud scored in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Otterup let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Away concern: Otterup has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Morud VS Otterup
1.57 Goals Scored 1.75
4.43 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
86% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Morud

(Home)
04 Aug
Munkebo BK
3 : 2
Morud
04 Sept
Morud
0 : 7
Aalborg
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
09 Aug
Morud
1 : 5
Naesby
09 Aug
Morud
3 : 5
Otterup
Page 1 of 2

Otterup

(Away)
09 Aug
Otterup
2 : 4
SfB-Oure
02 Sept
Otterup
2 : 3
Middelfart
22 Feb
Otterup
1 : 0
Dalum IF
24 Sept
Otterup
0 : 2
Odense
03 Sept
Otterup
4 : 0
FC Sydvest 05
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Lyngby 6
BK Glostrup Albertsund 1
Frem Sakskobing 2
Sydalliancen 3
Skive 4
Nordvestmors 1
Tjorring 0
Viby 4
Aarhus Fremad 3
DGL 2000 1
Brabrand 2
Ringkobing 3
Varde 2
Sohus 0
TBD -
Aarhus -
Aalborg -
TBD -
Djursland 2
Skovbakken 3
Herlufsholm 4
Tuse IF 1
Fremad Amager 1
Bronshoj 4
Esbjerg IF 92 3
FC Fyn 2
Gug 0
Lindholm 2
Odder 1
Viborg 5
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Brondby -
TBD -
Kalundborg GB 1
Holbaek 2
Vallensbaek 1
Allerod 0
Avarta 0
Boldklubben 1893 4
Jammerbugt 9
Hjorring AIK Frem 0
Borbjerg 1
Lystrup 4
Svendborg 1
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
Thisted FC 2
Hobro 3
Kjellerup 3
Vatanspor 2
Hadsund BK 3
Vendsyssel FF 4
Fredericia 3
Aalborg Chang 0
Egebjerg Fodbold 0
FC Sonderborg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Randers FC -
TBD -
Frederikshavn 2
Aalborg Freja 6
Avedore 2
B 1908 1
Ringsted 1
Naestved IF 4
Slagelse 5
Nykobing 1
Herlev 0
Helsingor 3
Aarup 5
Tved 0
Ubberud 0
Vejle 13
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skjold 2
AB Copenhagen 0
Naesby 2
Svebolle 5
Rishoj 2
Virum-Sorgenfri BK 0
Alleso 0
Marienlyst 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Odense -
TBD -
Osterbro IF 0
Bornholm 1
Ledoje-Smorum 10
Heimdal 4
Jaegersborg 1
Hvidovre IF 4
Sollerod-Ved. 3
Roskilde 1
Lundtofte 0
Frederikssund 6
Egedal 4
Birkerod 2
Femhoj 0
Vanlose 1
Hellerup 7
FC Amager 2
Flong Hedehusene 0
IF Foroyar 1
AB Tarnby 3
Christiania SC 1
Nakskov 0
Koge 9
Otterup 4
FC Sydvest 05 3
Marstal/Rise 0
Morud 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsens -
1/32-finals
Lyngby 4
Sydalliancen 0
Skive 0
Viby 2
Aarhus Fremad 2
Ringkobing 1
Varde 1
Aarhus 4
Aalborg 3
Skovbakken 0
Herlufsholm 0
Bronshoj 3
Esbjerg IF 92 4
Lindholm 3
Viborg 1
Esbjerg 2
Brondby 2
Holbaek 1
Vallensbaek 1
Boldklubben 1893 2
Jammerbugt 9
Lystrup 1
Svendborg 0
Silkeborg 2
Sonderjyske 4
Hobro 1
Kjellerup 1
Vendsyssel FF 7
Fredericia 2
FC Sonderborg 1
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Randers FC 1
Aalborg Freja 0
Avedore 0
Naestved IF 1
Slagelse 5
Helsingor 4
Aarup 1
Vejle 3
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
Skjold 0
Svebolle 2
Rishoj 3
Marienlyst 2
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Odense 1
Bornholm 0
Ledoje-Smorum 0
Hvidovre IF 1
Sollerod-Ved. 3
Frederikssund 0
Egedal 0
Vanlose 1
Hellerup 4
IF Foroyar 0
AB Tarnby 1
Koge 7
Otterup 3
Morud 1
TBD -
Horsens -
1/16-finals
Lyngby 6
Viby 1
Aarhus Fremad 0
Aarhus 3
Aalborg 3
Bronshoj 1
Esbjerg IF 92 0
Esbjerg 3
Brondby 3
Boldklubben 1893 0
Jammerbugt 0
Silkeborg 1
Sonderjyske 4
Vendsyssel FF 0
Fredericia 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Randers FC 2
Naestved IF 1
Slagelse 1
Vejle 3
Nordsjaelland 3
Svebolle 1
Rishoj 0
Midtjylland 1
Odense 7
Hvidovre IF 3
Sollerod-Ved. 0
Vanlose 1
Hellerup 3
Koge 2
Otterup 2
Horsens 3
1/8-finals
Lyngby 3
Aarhus 2
Aalborg 0
Esbjerg 1
Brondby 3
Silkeborg 0
Sonderjyske 0
FC Copenhagen 3
Randers FC 1
Vejle 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Midtjylland 3
Odense 3
Vanlose 0
Hellerup 0
Horsens 4
Quarter-finals
Lyngby 1
Esbjerg 2
Brondby 1
FC Copenhagen 0
Randers FC 2
Midtjylland 1
Odense 2
Horsens 4
Semi-finals
Brondby 2
Esbjerg 4
Randers FC 4
Horsens 2
Final
Esbjerg 1
Randers FC 0