Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morud vs Otterup

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2016/2017
Tue, Aug 9, 2016
3 - 5
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
30' Event
35' Event

AI Match Summary

Otterup in this Landspokal Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 3-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Morud
6%
Draws
90%
Otterup
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Otterup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Otterup lately — more wins on the board than Morud.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Otterup taking it.
  • Otterup arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Otterup, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Morud Clean Sheet 10%
Otterup Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morud Otterup
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 4.67 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.67 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2016 Betano Pokalen
Morud vs Otterup
3:5
Sep 11, 2012 Betano Pokalen
Morud vs Otterup
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morud 10 / 100
Otterup 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morud Otterup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morud's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Otterup has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Difficult form: Otterup registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morud VS Otterup
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
4.67 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Morud

(Home)
04 Sept
Morud
0 : 7
Aalborg
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
09 Aug
Morud
1 : 5
Naesby
09 Aug
Morud
3 : 5
Otterup
11 Aug
Morud
1 : 7
Marienlyst
Page 1 of 2

Otterup

(Away)
09 Aug
Otterup
2 : 4
SfB-Oure
02 Sept
Otterup
2 : 3
Middelfart
22 Feb
Otterup
1 : 0
Dalum IF
24 Sept
Otterup
0 : 2
Odense
03 Sept
Otterup
4 : 0
FC Sydvest 05
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Vendsyssel FF9
Birkelse0
Ringkobing0
Hobro2
Vejle3
Tjaereborg IF1
TBD-
Odense-
Viborg-
TBD-
Naesby1
OKS Odense2
Dollefjelde-Musse3
Horslunde2
Karlslunde0
Koge2
Roskilde4
Maribo BK0
BSF1
Skovshoved4
Brabrand6
Young Boys FD2
Svendborg1
Fredericia4
Nordsjaelland-
TBD-
Fremad Valby2
Tarnby FF3
Nykobing4
Herlufsholm0
TBD-
Naestved IF-
Aarhus-
TBD-
Thisted FC1
Aalborg Freja2
Dalum IF6
Nr. Aaby IK1
Nakskov0
Holbaek5
Helsingor6
Christiania SC2
Malov0
Fredensborg6
Lyseng5
Holstebro3
Tarm1
Horsens3
Boldklubben 18933
AB Tarnby1
Jyderup1
Roskilde KFUM7
Flemlose Harby2
Saedding/Guldager IF1
Middelfart0
Esbjerg1
Jammerbugt5
Norre Uttrup & Bouet4
Marstal/Rise0
Varde1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Brondby-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bornholm2
Taastrup1
Vanlose3
BK Frem4
AB Copenhagen2
FC Graesrodderne1
Rosenhoj BK1
Ledoje-Smorum3
B 19083
Avedore1
Arslev BK0
Marienlyst2
Sonderjyske-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Otterup5
Morud3
Herlev2
Hvidovre IF3
Hellerup3
Gentofte-Vangede2
Jaegersborg0
Birkerod2
Lystrup3
Braedstrup0
TBD-
Randers FC-
Aalborg-
TBD-
Saeby IF Skjold0
Norresundby3
Kolding IF4
Boldklubben 19130
Aarhus Fremad1
VSK Aarhus2
Skive4
Logstor IF0
FC Sonderborg0
Boldklubben 19091
Aabyhoj2
Skanderborg0
TBD-
Silkeborg-
Kjellerup9
Christiansbjerg IF0
Vatanspor1
Odder5
Frederiksvaerk1
Bronshoj0
TBD-
Lyngby-
Fremad Amager2
Avarta1
IF Foroyar1
VB 19682
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Midtjylland-
1/32-finals
Vendsyssel FF2
Hobro0
Vejle0
Odense4
Viborg2
OKS Odense0
Dollefjelde-Musse0
Koge3
Roskilde3
Skovshoved1
Brabrand2
Fredericia4
Nordsjaelland4
Tarnby FF1
Nykobing2
Naestved IF3
Aarhus5
Aalborg Freja0
Dalum IF0
Holbaek1
Helsingor4
Fredensborg0
Lyseng1
Horsens4
Boldklubben 18934
Roskilde KFUM1
Flemlose Harby0
Esbjerg5
Jammerbugt2
Varde1
TBD-
FC Copenhagen-
Brondby-
TBD-
Bornholm0
BK Frem4
AB Copenhagen7
Ledoje-Smorum2
B 19081
Marienlyst5
Sonderjyske-
TBD-
Otterup0
Hvidovre IF4
Hellerup3
Birkerod0
Lystrup2
Randers FC6
Aalborg5
Norresundby1
Kolding IF3
VSK Aarhus4
Skive6
Boldklubben 19090
Aabyhoj0
Silkeborg9
Kjellerup2
Odder0
Frederiksvaerk1
Lyngby3
Fremad Amager2
VB 19680
TBD-
Midtjylland-
1/16-finals
Vendsyssel FF2
Odense1
Viborg1
Koge2
Roskilde2
Fredericia1
Nordsjaelland0
Naestved IF1
Aarhus3
Holbaek1
Helsingor0
Horsens1
Boldklubben 18931
Esbjerg0
Jammerbugt1
FC Copenhagen6
Brondby2
BK Frem1
AB Copenhagen2
Marienlyst3
Sonderjyske2
Hvidovre IF0
Hellerup1
Randers FC3
Aalborg1
VSK Aarhus0
Skive1
Silkeborg3
Kjellerup4
Lyngby3
Fremad Amager1
Midtjylland3
1/8-finals
Vendsyssel FF4
Koge0
Roskilde2
Naestved IF3
Aarhus3
Horsens1
Boldklubben 18930
FC Copenhagen3
Brondby4
Marienlyst1
Sonderjyske0
Randers FC1
Aalborg5
Silkeborg0
Kjellerup0
Midtjylland3
Quarter-finals
Vendsyssel FF2
Naestved IF1
Aarhus1
FC Copenhagen2
Brondby4
Randers FC2
Aalborg2
Midtjylland3
Semi-finals
Vendsyssel FF0
FC Copenhagen2
Brondby2
Midtjylland1
Final
FC Copenhagen3
Brondby1