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Morupule vs BDF XI

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Morupule Logo

Morupule

1 - 1
FT
BDF XI Logo

BDF XI

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Morupule and BDF XI finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Morupule
15%
Draws
26%
BDF XI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morupule

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Morupule carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Morupule a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Morupule Clean Sheet 20%
BDF XI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morupule BDF XI
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Morupule vs BDF XI
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
BDF XI vs Morupule
0:2
May 4, 2025 Premier League
BDF XI vs Morupule
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Morupule vs BDF XI
2:1
May 9, 2024 Premier League
BDF XI vs Morupule
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morupule 67 / 100
BDF XI 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morupule BDF XI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morupule Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morupule's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: BDF XI conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Morupule went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morupule VS BDF XI
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Morupule

(Home)
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
06 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Morupule
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BDF XI

(Away)
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1
BDF XI
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3
Nico United
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2
Centre Chiefs
06 May
BDF XI
0 : 1
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)