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Morupule vs Centre Chiefs

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Morupule Logo

Morupule

2 - 1
FT
Centre Chiefs Logo

Centre Chiefs

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Morupule and Centre Chiefs finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morupule.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Morupule
15%
Draws
26%
Centre Chiefs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morupule

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Morupule haven't matched Centre Chiefs's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Morupule a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Morupule Clean Sheet 20%
Centre Chiefs Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morupule Centre Chiefs
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Morupule vs Centre Chiefs
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Centre Chiefs vs Morupule
2:3
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Centre Chiefs vs Morupule
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Morupule vs Centre Chiefs
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morupule 58 / 100
Centre Chiefs 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morupule Centre Chiefs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morupule Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morupule scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Morupule went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Centre Chiefs lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Morupule VS Centre Chiefs
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morupule

(Home)
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
06 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Morupule
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Centre Chiefs

(Away)
29 Aug
Extension Gunners
1 : 0
Centre Chiefs
23 May
Extension Gunners
2 : 0
Centre Chiefs
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1
Gaborone Utd
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2
Centre Chiefs
25 Apr
Orapa United
1 : 0
Centre Chiefs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)