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Morupule vs Prisons XI Gaborone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morupule host Prisons XI Gaborone in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Morupule at 1.17 goals for, 0.93 against; Prisons XI Gaborone at 0.46 for, 2.14 against. Head-to-head, Morupule have won 0 to Prisons XI Gaborone's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2023, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.15 - 0.53) back Morupule to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Morupule
20%
Draws
0%
Prisons XI Gaborone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morupule

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Morupule have won more games recently than Prisons XI Gaborone.
  • Morupule are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Morupule Clean Sheet 20%
Prisons XI Gaborone Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morupule Prisons XI Gaborone
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.46
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Premier League
Prisons XI Gaborone vs Morupule
1:0
Nov 5, 2022 Premier League
Morupule vs Prisons XI Gaborone
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Premier League
Prisons XI Gaborone vs Morupule
2:2
Jan 15, 2022 Premier League
Morupule vs Prisons XI Gaborone
2:2
Dec 22, 2019 Premier League
Prisons XI Gaborone vs Morupule
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morupule 40 / 100
Prisons XI Gaborone 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morupule Prisons XI Gaborone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morupule Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prisons XI Gaborone has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Prisons XI Gaborone registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Morupule found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Morupule VS Prisons XI Gaborone
1.13 Goals Scored 0.17
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.17
50% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Morupule

(Home)
09 Oct
Gaborone Utd
3 : 1
Morupule
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
Page 1 of 6

Prisons XI Gaborone

(Away)
03 Oct
Nico United
3 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
12 Sept
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1
BDF XI
28 Aug
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
Prisons XI Gaborone
03 Jun
Sua Flamingoes
6 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonota 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
2 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
3 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
4 Nico United 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
5 Tafic FC 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
6 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
7 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
9 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Centre Chiefs 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
11 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Matebele 4 0 0 4 1:6 0
16 Prisons XI Gaborone 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)