Sport Picks
Morupule vs Security Systems
Botswana
Premier League 2024/2025 Palapye Stadium, Palapye 
Match Events
1'
1'
Ndebele K.
34'
34'
Ndebele K.
AI Match Summary
Morupule in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morupule.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morupule
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Morupule lately — more wins on the board than Security Systems.
- Morupule are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Morupule Clean Sheet 20%
Security Systems Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Morupule | Security Systems |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Security Systems vs Morupule
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Premier League
Morupule vs Security Systems
2:0
May 22, 2024 Premier League
Morupule vs Security Systems
3:3
Dec 9, 2023 Premier League
Security Systems vs Morupule
2:1
Jun 3, 2023 Premier League
Security Systems vs Morupule
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Morupule Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndebele K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Security Systems Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Morupule 40 / 100
Security Systems 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Morupule Security Systems
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Morupule Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Morupule's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Security Systems let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Morupule went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Morupule VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Morupule
(Home) 12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1 Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0 Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0 Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0 Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1 Jwaneng Galaxy
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12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1 Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0 Sua Flamingoes
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0 Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1 Jwaneng Galaxy
25 Apr
Morupule
0 : 0 Nico United
Page 1 of 4
Security Systems
(Away) 24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3 Security Systems
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1 Chadibe
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2 Security Systems
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1 Security Systems
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24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3 Security Systems
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2 Security Systems
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1 Security Systems
09 Apr
Matebele
0 : 1 Security Systems
06 Apr
VTM FC
3 : 0 Security Systems
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaborone Utd | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 56:23 | 66 |
| 2 | Tafic FC | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 51:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 59 |
| 4 | Jwaneng Galaxy | 30 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 43:20 | 59 |
| 5 | Centre Chiefs | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 46:20 | 56 |
| 6 | Township Rollers | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 37:28 | 54 |
| 7 | Morupule | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:36 | 42 |
| 8 | Orapa United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:31 | 40 |
| 9 | VTM FC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 36:33 | 35 |
| 10 | Nico United | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 18:32 | 32 |
| 11 | BDF XI | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:33 | 31 |
| 12 | Matebele | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:45 | 30 |
| 13 | Extension Gunners | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 25:48 | 29 |
| 14 | Security Systems | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 30:45 | 26 |
| 15 | Chadibe | 30 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 19:62 | 16 |
| 16 | Flamingo Santos | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 18:67 | 13 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
