Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Morupule vs Tonota - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morupule host Tonota in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Morupule have averaged 1.14 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Tonota's 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 0.94, favoring Tonota. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Morupule
35%
Draws
48%
Tonota
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tonota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morupule lately — more wins on the board than Tonota.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Tonota taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Morupule Clean Sheet 20%
Tonota Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morupule Tonota
Matches Played 28 6
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 0
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morupule 20 / 100
Tonota 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morupule Tonota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonota Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morupule scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Morupule remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tonota has conceded goals in 50% of their last 6 outings.

Scoring Trends

Morupule VS Tonota
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Morupule

(Home)
28 Oct
BDF XI
2 : 2
Morupule
17 Oct
Morupule
0 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
09 Oct
Gaborone Utd
3 : 1
Morupule
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
Page 1 of 6

Tonota

(Away)
17 Oct
Tonota
2 : 0
Police XI
09 Oct
Tonota
1 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
03 Oct
Matebele
1 : 3
Tonota
16 Sept
Centre Chiefs
1 : 1
Tonota
11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1
BDF XI
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 5 5 0 0 9:2 15
2 Tonota 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
3 Sua Flamingoes 7 4 2 1 5:2 14
4 Police XI 7 3 2 2 4:3 11
5 Jwaneng Galaxy 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
6 Centre Chiefs 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
7 Orapa United 7 2 3 2 8:6 9
8 Tafic FC 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
9 Extension Gunners 7 2 3 2 4:6 9
10 Enesia 7 1 3 3 9:12 6
11 Nico United 7 2 0 5 6:9 6
12 Township Rollers 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
13 Matebele 7 1 2 4 8:11 5
14 BDF XI 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
15 Prisons XI Gaborone 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
16 Morupule 6 0 4 2 4:8 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)