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Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force

Trinidad and Tobago Trinidad and Tobago

TT Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The TT Premier League game between Morvant Caledonia United and Defence Force finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defence Force.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Morvant Caledonia United
15%
Draws
57%
Defence Force
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defence Force

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Morvant Caledonia United haven't matched Defence Force's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Defence Force a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Defence Force have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Morvant Caledonia United Clean Sheet 13%
Defence Force Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Morvant Caledonia United Defence Force
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 1 3
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.37 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 TT Premier League
Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United
2:1
Jan 8, 2026 TT Premier League
Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force
1:3
Apr 26, 2025 TT Premier League
Defence Force vs Morvant Caledonia United
5:1
Jan 10, 2025 TT Premier League
Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force
2:6
Mar 28, 2024 TT Premier League
Morvant Caledonia United vs Defence Force
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Morvant Caledonia United 14 / 100
Defence Force 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Morvant Caledonia United Defence Force

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defence Force Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Morvant Caledonia United's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defence Force let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Defence Force's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Morvant Caledonia United VS Defence Force
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Morvant Caledonia United

(Home)
27 Mar
Prison Service
1 : 0
Morvant Caledonia United
22 Mar
Morvant Caledonia United
0 : 5
Sando
19 Mar
Morvant Caledonia United
0 : 2
AC Port Of Spain
14 Mar
Morvant Caledonia United
1 : 2
La Horquetta
07 Mar
Central FC
1 : 5
Morvant Caledonia United
Page 1 of 6

Defence Force

(Away)
15 Sept
Delfines Del Este
3 : 1
Defence Force
01 Sept
Defence Force
0 : 2
Sando
20 Aug
Defence Force
2 : 1
Broki
05 Aug
Violette
3 : 0
Defence Force
29 Mar
Defence Force
2 : 0
AC Port Of Spain
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Defence Force 22 16 4 2 58:19 52
2 Sando 22 16 1 5 51:13 49
3 Prison Service 22 15 2 5 42:24 47
4 Police 22 13 5 4 44:18 44
5 AC Port Of Spain 22 11 4 7 38:31 37
6 San Juan Jabloteh 22 10 4 8 45:39 34
7 Central FC 22 8 3 11 32:50 27
8 La Horquetta 22 6 3 13 21:51 21
9 1976 Phoenix FC 22 6 1 15 29:54 19
10 Eagles FC 22 5 2 15 31:52 17
11 Point Fortin 22 5 2 15 22:46 17
12 Morvant Caledonia United 22 5 1 16 30:46 16
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