Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mosjoen vs Tiller

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Myrvagnes E. S.
90' Event
Kadziolka J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2024 game between Mosjoen and Tiller finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mosjoen
20%
Draws
16%
Tiller
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mosjoen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Tiller's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what Mosjoen have produced (1.06).
  • Model gives Tiller a 16% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Mosjoen Clean Sheet 19%
Tiller Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mosjoen Tiller
Matches Played 35 37
Wins 5 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 26 26
Goals Scored 1.06 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.49 2.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Mosjoen vs Tiller
1:1
Apr 5, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Mosjoen
3:0
Sep 16, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Mosjoen
3:0
Jun 3, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Mosjoen vs Tiller
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mosjoen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadziolka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Myrvagnes E. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mosjoen 16 / 100
Tiller 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mosjoen Tiller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiller Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tiller has conceded goals in 92% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Tiller's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Mosjoen scored in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tiller
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Mosjoen

(Home)
13 Apr
Mosjoen
0 : 4
Rana FK
27 Oct
Mosjoen
2 : 4
Trygg/Lade
20 Oct
Byasen
6 : 1
Mosjoen
13 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 2
Lillestrom 2
05 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 3
Melhus
Page 1 of 7

Tiller

(Away)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
Page 1 of 8