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Moss vs Ranheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Melløs Stadion, Moss
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moss host Ranheim in the OBOS-ligaen. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Moss have averaged 1.52 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Ranheim's 2.62 scored and 2.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Moss slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.06, favoring Ranheim. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Moss
20%
Draws
57%
Ranheim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ranheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ranheim have won more games recently than Moss.
  • Model gives Ranheim a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Ranheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moss Ranheim
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.52 2.62
Goals Conceded 2 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Ranheim vs Moss
4:0
Aug 6, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Ranheim vs Moss
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Ranheim
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Ranheim vs Moss
1:0
Apr 15, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Ranheim
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moss 22 / 100
Ranheim 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moss Ranheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ranheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Ranheim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Moss stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moss VS Ranheim
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moss

(Home)
18 Oct
Lyn
1 : 0
Moss
14 Oct
Moss
0 : 0
Egersund
11 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 2
Moss
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1
Moss
Page 1 of 6

Ranheim

(Away)
18 Oct
Ranheim
4 : 2
Bryne
14 Oct
Hodd
1 : 1
Ranheim
11 Oct
Kongsvinger
6 : 2
Ranheim
02 Oct
Ranheim
5 : 0
Egersund
20 Sept
Lyn
1 : 4
Ranheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stromsgodset 27 18 6 3 76:33 60
2 Kongsvinger 27 18 5 4 81:42 59
3 Haugesund 27 19 2 6 78:45 59
4 Stabaek 27 16 4 7 64:34 52
5 Odds BK 27 13 6 8 54:41 45
6 Bryne 27 12 3 12 37:38 39
7 Hodd 27 11 5 11 47:53 38
8 Ranheim 27 10 5 12 68:67 35
9 Egersund 27 9 7 11 42:53 34
10 Strommen 27 9 6 12 48:59 33
11 Lyn 27 9 4 14 41:57 31
12 Moss 27 8 5 14 40:56 29
13 Sogndal 27 7 6 14 44:60 27
14 Sandnes Ulf 27 7 5 15 37:54 26
15 Asane 27 6 5 16 37:61 22
16 Raufoss 27 6 2 19 30:71 20
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)