Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moss vs Stabaek

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Melløs Stadion, Moss
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Semmen N.
23' Event
Aga O.
25'
Sub
Sanyang A. In: Wendt W.
Out: Sanyang A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Moss
6%
Draws
90%
Stabaek
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stabaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stabaek lately — more wins on the board than Moss.
  • Win probability leans Stabaek's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moss Stabaek
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Stabaek
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Stabaek vs Moss
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Moss
3:3
Apr 27, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Stabaek
4:2
Jul 27, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Moss
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Semmen N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aga O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekorness K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dahlby M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moss 10 / 100
Stabaek 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moss Stabaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Stabaek let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Moss stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moss VS Stabaek
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moss

(Home)
26 Jul
Moss
1 : 2
Raufoss
04 Jul
Egersund
3 : 0
Moss
27 Jun
Strommen
3 : 2
Moss
21 Jun
Moss
1 : 4
Sandnes Ulf
14 Jun
Sogndal
2 : 4
Moss
Page 1 of 6

Stabaek

(Away)
27 Jul
Stabaek
6 : 0
Hodd
03 Jul
Ranheim
2 : 5
Stabaek
27 Jun
Stabaek
2 : 0
Bryne
21 Jun
Strommen
1 : 0
Stabaek
14 Jun
Stabaek
3 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kongsvinger15103242:2233
2Haugesund15101444:2831
3Stabaek1593338:1630
4Stromsgodset1585242:2329
5Odds BK1574427:1925
6Hodd1563622:2521
7Ranheim1562736:3720
8Egersund1562727:2820
9Sandnes Ulf1562723:2620
10Bryne1562721:2420
11Sogndal1553728:3818
12Moss1552824:3417
13Raufoss1551919:3216
14Lyn1542918:3114
15Asane1542923:3313
16Strommen1533918:3612
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)