Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moss vs Strommen

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Melløs Stadion, Moss
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Sub
Kristiansen H. In: Somesi K.
Out: Kristiansen H.
25'
Cassidy M.
40' Event
Kristengard J.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Moss and Strommen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Strommen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Moss
15%
Draws
54%
Strommen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strommen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Strommen come out ahead of Moss on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%
Strommen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moss Strommen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Strommen
1:2
Jun 27, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Strommen vs Moss
3:2
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Moss vs Strommen
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 Division 2 - Group 1
Strommen vs Moss
1:3
May 28, 2022 Division 2 - Group 1
Moss vs Strommen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moss Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Strommen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristengard J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hristov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moss 34 / 100
Strommen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moss Strommen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strommen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Strommen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Moss has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moss VS Strommen
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Moss

(Home)
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3
Moss
15 Aug
Bryne
2 : 1
Moss
Page 1 of 6

Strommen

(Away)
08 Sept
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
9 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Strommen
2 : 0
Bryne
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
26 Aug
Strommen
3 : 1
Raufoss
22 Aug
Lillehammer
2 : 4
Strommen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kongsvinger 21 14 4 3 62:33 46
2 Haugesund 21 15 1 5 64:36 46
3 Stabaek 21 13 3 5 55:26 42
4 Stromsgodset 21 12 6 3 54:30 42
5 Hodd 21 10 4 7 37:38 34
6 Odds BK 21 9 6 6 41:33 33
7 Bryne 21 9 2 10 26:31 29
8 Egersund 21 8 4 9 34:38 28
9 Lyn 21 7 4 10 36:44 25
10 Ranheim 21 7 3 11 50:55 24
11 Sandnes Ulf 21 7 3 11 30:36 24
12 Strommen 21 7 3 11 32:47 24
13 Moss 21 6 4 11 35:47 22
14 Sogndal 21 6 4 11 36:50 22
15 Asane 21 5 4 12 32:46 18
16 Raufoss 21 5 1 15 24:58 16
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)