Sport Picks

World

Club Friendly 2023

Southport

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mossley AFC play Southport in the Club Friendly 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mossley AFC averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Southport averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Mossley AFC won 0, Southport won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 25, 2023 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Mossley AFC and 1.49 for Southport. This points to a Southport double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Mossley AFC

21%

Draws

42%

Southport

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Southport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Mossley AFC picked up more points recently compared to Southport.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.49 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Mossley AFC Clean Sheet 16%

Southport Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mossley AFC	Southport
Matches Played	27	31
Wins	10	14
Draws	5	7
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.52	1.55
Goals Conceded	1.7	1.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly

Mossley AFC vs Southport

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mossley AFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bannister J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marsden B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Southport Compare

Top Goalscorer Flowers H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Carver M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mossley AFC 37 / 100

Southport 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mossley AFC Southport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Southport or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mossley AFC attacking → ← attacking Southport

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mossley AFC scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Southport let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mossley AFC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Southport lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 49

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25