Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017

St Luke's

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mossley FC play St Luke's in the Irish Cup 2016/2017. St Luke's are favorites here. Recently, Mossley FC averaged 1.29 goals scored and 3.43 conceded. St Luke's averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Mossley FC won 0, St Luke's won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 1, 2016 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Mossley FC and 2.38 for St Luke's. This points to a St Luke's double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Mossley FC

15%

Draws

67%

St Luke's

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Luke's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Mossley FC picked up more points recently compared to St Luke's.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Mossley FC Clean Sheet 10%

St Luke's Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 84%

Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mossley FC	St Luke's
Matches Played	7	6
Wins	1	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	6	4
Goals Scored	1.29	1.33
Goals Conceded	3.43	2.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.43	2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Irish Cup

Mossley FC vs St Luke's

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mossley FC 18 / 100

St Luke's 62 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mossley FC St Luke's

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Luke's Win (2)

Secondary Pick St Luke's & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mossley FC attacking → ← attacking St Luke's

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mossley FC scored in 57% of their last 7 games.

St Luke's let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Mossley FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

St Luke's lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 6

1.29 Goals expected (xG) 1.33

3.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.33