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Mosta FC vs Qrendi Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Mosta FC Logo

Mosta FC

4 - 0
FT
Qrendi Logo

Qrendi

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Eke C.
31' Event
Scerri J.
40' Event
Ojala S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Mosta FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mosta FC
20%
Draws
33%
Qrendi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mosta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mosta FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mosta FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Mosta FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mosta FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mosta FC Clean Sheet 68%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mosta FC Qrendi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 FA Trophy
Mosta FC vs Qrendi
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mosta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Eke C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scerri J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Qrendi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mosta FC 50 / 100
Qrendi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mosta FC Qrendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mosta FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qrendi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mosta FC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Mosta FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mosta FC VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mosta FC

(Home)
13 Sept
Mosta FC
1 : 3
Sliema
05 Sept
Marsaxlokk
1 : 1
Mosta FC
30 Aug
Mosta FC
1 : 0
Birkirkara
23 Aug
Mosta FC
2 : 1
Balzan FC
17 Aug
Hamrun
0 : 2
Mosta FC
Page 1 of 7

Qrendi

(Away)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Valletta 3
Nadur 1
Mgarr 2
Victoria Wanderers 3
Xaghra -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Senglea 0
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Sirens 3
Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Swieqi 1
Mtarfa 0
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Hibernians -
TBD -
Zebbug 6
Oratory 1
Zurrieq -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 2
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
1/16-finals
Fgura 3
Attard 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Gudja 0
Gzira 5
Valletta 4
Victoria Wanderers 0
Xaghra 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Floriana 2
Xewkija 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Mosta FC 3
Sirens 0
Qrendi 2
Lija 0
Zabbar 5
Hamrun 5
Swieqi 0
Pieta 1
Marsa 5
Sliema 8
Ghajnsielem 0
Qala Saints 2
St. Andrews 0
Hibernians 3
Zebbug 0
Zurrieq 1
Mellieha 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Melita 2
1/8-finals
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 3
Gzira 0
Valletta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 4
Qrendi 0
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 2
Marsa 0
Sliema 4
Qala Saints 0
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Mosta FC 0
Hamrun 2
Sliema 0
Hibernians 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Floriana 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 1
Hibernians 2