Sport Picks

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Mostistea Ulmu vs Partizanul Merei

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mostistea Ulmu play Partizanul Merei in the Liga 3 - Seria 2 2010/2011. Mostistea Ulmu are favorites here. Recently, Mostistea Ulmu averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Partizanul Merei averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. In past meetings, Mostistea Ulmu won 1, Partizanul Merei won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 26, 2011 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Mostistea Ulmu and 0.75 for Partizanul Merei. This points to a Mostistea Ulmu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Mostistea Ulmu
19%
Draws
25%
Partizanul Merei
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Mostistea Ulmu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Mostistea Ulmu picked up more points recently compared to Partizanul Merei.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Mostistea Ulmu Clean Sheet 27%
Partizanul Merei Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostistea Ulmu Partizanul Merei
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.59 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Mostistea Ulmu vs Partizanul Merei
1:0
Sep 17, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Partizanul Merei vs Mostistea Ulmu
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostistea Ulmu 56 / 100
Partizanul Merei 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostistea Ulmu Partizanul Merei

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mostistea Ulmu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mostistea Ulmu & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mostistea Ulmu attacking → ← attacking Partizanul Merei

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mostistea Ulmu scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Partizanul Merei let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mostistea Ulmu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Partizanul Merei lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 25
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Callatis Mangalia28215264:1568
2Unirea Slobozia28214375:2967
3Berceni28164848:2952
4Calarasi28155850:3450
5Rapid Bucuresti 2281351045:2744
6Voluntari281110733:2643
7Tunari281061249:5236
8CSM Ramnicu Sarat281061229:3636
9LPS HD Clinceni281061242:4836
10Mostistea Ulmu281061233:3936
11Comprest287111028:4132
12Eforie281021630:4932
13Partizanul Merei28731836:6424
14Spicul Bucuresti28651735:5623
15Stoicescu Buzau28322322:7411