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Mostoles CF vs AD Alcala Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

Mostoles CF in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mostoles CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Mostoles CF
20%
Draws
36%
AD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mostoles CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AD Alcala at 0.81 per game, Mostoles CF at 0.73.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 20%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostoles CF AD Alcala
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.73 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Mostoles CF
0:2
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs AD Alcala
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostoles CF 32 / 100
AD Alcala 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostoles CF AD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Alcala let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Mostoles CF found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Mostoles CF stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Alcala
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mostoles CF

(Home)
20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1
Mostoles CF
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3
San Fernando de Henares
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0
Mostoles CF
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0
Santa Ana
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2
Mostoles CF
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AD Alcala

(Away)
24 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
AD Alcala
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Villaviciosa de Odon
2 : 1
AD Alcala
13 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 0
AD Alcala
09 Apr
AD Alcala
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
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