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Mostoles CF vs Paracuellos Antamira

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Mostoles CF Logo

Mostoles CF

0 - 1
FT
Paracuellos Antamira Logo

Paracuellos Antamira

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mostoles CF play Paracuellos Antamira in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mostoles CF averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Paracuellos Antamira averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Mostoles CF won 0, Paracuellos Antamira won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2021 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Mostoles CF and 0.99 for Paracuellos Antamira. This points to a Paracuellos Antamira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mostoles CF
21%
Draws
50%
Paracuellos Antamira
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Paracuellos Antamira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Mostoles CF picked up more points recently compared to Paracuellos Antamira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 23%
Paracuellos Antamira Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mostoles CF Paracuellos Antamira
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Paracuellos Antamira vs Mostoles CF
3:1
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs Paracuellos Antamira
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mostoles CF 31 / 100
Paracuellos Antamira 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mostoles CF Paracuellos Antamira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paracuellos Antamira or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mostoles CF attacking → ← attacking Paracuellos Antamira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mostoles CF scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Paracuellos Antamira let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mostoles CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Paracuellos Antamira lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00