Sport Picks
Mostoles CF vs Real Aranjuez Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 game between Mostoles CF and Real Aranjuez finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mostoles CF.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mostoles CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mostoles CF come out ahead of Real Aranjuez on wins alone.
- Model gives Mostoles CF a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mostoles CF | Real Aranjuez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs Real Aranjuez
1:0
Feb 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Mostoles CF
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mostoles CF 42 / 100
Real Aranjuez 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mostoles CF Real Aranjuez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Real Aranjuez conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Away concern: Real Aranjuez has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Mostoles CF scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Real Aranjuez
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mostoles CF
(Home) 20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1 Mostoles CF
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3 San Fernando de Henares
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0 Mostoles CF
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0 Santa Ana
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2 Mostoles CF
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13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3 San Fernando de Henares
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0 Santa Ana
16 May
Mostoles CF
0 : 1 RSD Alcala
08 May
Mostoles CF
0 : 1 Paracuellos Antamira
25 Apr
Mostoles CF
0 : 5 Villanueva del Pardillo CF
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Real Aranjuez
(Away) 26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1 Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6 Alaves C
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20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1 Real Aranjuez
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0 Real Aranjuez
02 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
6 : 0 Real Aranjuez
19 Mar
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0 Real Aranjuez
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Adarve | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Moratalaz | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 36:20 | 40 |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano B | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35:27 | 38 |
| 4 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:20 | 38 |
| 5 | Flat Earth FC | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 19:18 | 33 |
| 6 | AD Torrejon | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 32:17 | 32 |
| 7 | AD Alcala | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:22 | 30 |
| 8 | RSD Alcala | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 9 | Paracuellos Antamira | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 18:27 | 26 |
| 10 | Villanueva del Pardillo CF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:28 | 19 |
| 11 | San Fernando de Henares | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 18:36 | 18 |
| 12 | Santa Ana | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:51 | 10 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leganes B | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 34:12 | 50 |
| 2 | CD Mostoles | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28:11 | 44 |
| 3 | Alcorcon B | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 32:15 | 34 |
| 4 | Parla | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Carabanchel | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 18:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Pinto | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | 24 |
| 7 | Trival Valderas | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 15:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Villaverde San Andres | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18:29 | 21 |
| 9 | El Alamo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24:33 | 16 |
| 10 | Mostoles CF | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 11 | Real Aranjuez | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19:32 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
