Sport Picks
Motagua vs Cartagines Prediction & H2H Stats
North & Central America
CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa 
Match Events
16'
16'
Sub
Olivas Salcedo L. A. In: Cordero R.
Out: Olivas Salcedo L. A.
18'
18'
Gonzalez J.
Assist: Moran M.
34'
34'
Hernandez A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cartagines
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cartagines lately — more wins on the board than Motagua.
- Model gives Motagua a 36% chance of winning this.
- Cartagines arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cartagines, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Motagua Clean Sheet 12%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motagua | Cartagines |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Motagua vs Cartagines
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Motagua vs Cartagines
1:3
Oct 22, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Cartagines vs Motagua
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Motagua vs Cartagines
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motagua Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Cartagines Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motagua 35 / 100
Cartagines 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motagua Cartagines
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cartagines has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Motagua's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Motagua has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Motagua VS Cartagines
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Motagua
(Home) 20 Sept
Real Espana
1 : 0 Motagua
17 Sept
Alianza FC
0 : 0 Motagua
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0 Genesis FC
10 Sept
Motagua
3 : 0 Alianza FC
05 Sept
Atletico Independiente
0 : 0 Motagua
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0 Genesis FC
10 Sept
Motagua
3 : 0 Alianza FC
30 Aug
Motagua
2 : 1 Olancho
22 Aug
Motagua
4 : 1 Lobos UPNFM
13 Aug
Motagua
1 : 1 Cartagines
Page 1 of 3
Cartagines
(Away) 21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0 Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2 Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1 Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2 Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3 Cartagines
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0 Cartagines
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2 Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3 Cartagines
22 Aug
Escorpiones
1 : 4 Cartagines
16 Aug
Saprissa
3 : 2 Cartagines
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alajuelense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Plaza Amador | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Diriangen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Herediano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Esteli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Antigua | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | UMECIT | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagines | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Motagua | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Municipal | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | FAS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 5 | Verdes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)
