Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Motagua play Olimpia in the Liga Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Motagua averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Olimpia averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, Motagua won 1, Olimpia won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Motagua and 1.63 for Olimpia. This points to a Olimpia double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Motagua picked up more points recently compared to Olimpia.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motagua | Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 33 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Motagua Compare
Olimpia Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Motagua scored in 85% of their last 33 games.
Olimpia let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Motagua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Olimpia lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis FC | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | 23 |
| 7 | CD Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | 16 |