Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motala vs Aspudden Tellus

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motala in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Motala
20%
Draws
51%
Aspudden Tellus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aspudden Tellus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Motala have won more games recently than Aspudden Tellus.
  • Win probability leans Motala's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Motala here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Motala Clean Sheet 16%
Aspudden Tellus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motala Aspudden Tellus
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Motala vs Aspudden Tellus
3:0
Jun 10, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Motala
0:2
Sep 8, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Motala vs Aspudden Tellus
4:1
May 19, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Motala
1:4
Aug 27, 2016 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Motala vs Aspudden Tellus
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motala 36 / 100
Aspudden Tellus 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motala Aspudden Tellus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aspudden Tellus has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Motala's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Motala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motala VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Motala

(Home)
09 Aug
Motala
0 : 1
Husqvarna
01 Aug
Vanersborgs IF
3 : 3
Motala
27 Jun
Motala
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
21 Jun
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Motala
11 Jun
Motala
0 : 0
Kumla
Page 1 of 7

Aspudden Tellus

(Away)
12 Oct
Motala
3 : 0
Aspudden Tellus
05 Oct
Aspudden Tellus
2 : 0
Assyriska FF
28 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
22 Sept
Varmbols
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
13 Sept
Aspudden Tellus
1 : 2
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haninge 26 15 7 4 64:30 52
2 Motala 26 13 9 4 45:24 48
3 Assyriska FF 26 14 6 6 55:35 48
4 Enskede 26 14 4 8 50:44 46
5 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 10 8 8 52:30 38
6 Huddinge 26 10 6 10 57:51 36
7 Assyriska IF 26 10 6 10 46:49 36
8 Varmbols 26 11 3 12 46:50 36
9 Newroz 26 10 5 11 58:52 35
10 Tyreso 26 9 7 10 34:42 34
11 Arameisk-Syrianska 26 8 9 9 46:40 33
12 Aspudden Tellus 26 9 3 14 38:49 30
13 AFK Linkopings 26 8 2 16 50:69 26
14 Sodertalje FK 26 1 5 20 35:111 8
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2019 (Promotion Group)