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Motala vs Grebbestad Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ali K.
45' Event
Book R.
47' Event
Salihi E.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Motala and Grebbestad finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grebbestad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Motala
20%
Draws
51%
Grebbestad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Grebbestad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Motala Clean Sheet 15%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motala Grebbestad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Grebbestad
1:3
May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Motala
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Motala vs Grebbestad
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Motala
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Motala
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Grebbestad Compare

Top Goalscorer Book R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hogblom S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motala 31 / 100
Grebbestad 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motala Grebbestad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grebbestad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grebbestad has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Motala found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Motala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Motala VS Grebbestad
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Motala

(Home)
27 Sept
Motala
4 : 0
Herrestads AIF
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
05 Sept
Motala
2 : 2
Stenungsunds IF
30 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2
Motala
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Grebbestad

(Away)
26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1
Skara
19 Sept
Motala
1 : 3
Grebbestad
11 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Grebbestad
06 Sept
Grebbestad
0 : 1
Lidkoping
30 Aug
Husqvarna
3 : 2
Grebbestad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 23 19 3 1 54:18 60
2 Skara 23 15 5 3 48:25 50
3 IFK Skovde 23 13 5 5 39:25 44
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 23 9 6 8 42:30 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 23 8 4 11 30:39 28
9 Motala 23 6 8 9 33:32 26
10 Kumla 23 6 7 10 22:39 25
11 Lidkoping 23 6 6 11 28:42 24
12 Tord 23 3 9 11 26:42 18
13 Karlstad II 23 2 7 14 23:44 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)